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Africa at a Fork in the Road: Taking Off or Disappointment Once Again?<br />

Third, what should aid resources be used for? Above, we touched on the need to<br />

be aware of the political economy and of the institutional consequences of giving<br />

aid, and to choose well for long-term gain. But more can be said. Where financial<br />

resources are increasing, aid becomes less needed as a substitute source of public<br />

finance, but offers greater opportunities to be used as a multiplier that unlocks<br />

other resources. For example, aid can be used to unlock tax collection, partly to<br />

make development self-financing but also to strengthen mutual accountability and<br />

legitimacy between the state, citizens, and business (Besley and Persson, 2011).<br />

Aid can also be used to directly promote systems of accountability, and—albeit<br />

carefully—to unlock international investment or to improve access to international<br />

finance at competitive rates for both the private and public sectors. Aid can be<br />

used to encourage risk taking and experimentation by the public sector and other<br />

stakeholders, and to promote learning, showing what can and cannot be done with<br />

public resources. Aid becomes then a complementary good to other sources of<br />

finance, leveraging these resources and unlocking greater return.<br />

Fourth, donors should use aid to create the external conditions to enable those<br />

African countries that promote growth and poverty reduction to be more successful.<br />

This is a vast non-aid agenda, but one that often receives less attention than<br />

the aid agenda itself. It encompasses the global and regional actions that change<br />

rules, norms, and behaviors and that are particularly beneficial for growth and<br />

poverty reduction. Aid can be used to fund these changes, but success often has<br />

more to do with effective diplomacy to the advantage of poorer countries than with<br />

the amount that is spent. The most obvious areas for action are trade, access to<br />

financial markets, and the global financial infrastructure. Global health initiatives or<br />

initiatives to set clear international learning standards similarly can have high returns.<br />

Of particular importance to Sub-Saharan Africa in the near future will be finding<br />

ever-better mechanisms to ensure that natural resource extraction, contracting, and<br />

revenue flows are as clean and transparent as possible. Deepening the Extractive<br />

Industries Transparency Initiative and related actions, and giving them more “teeth,”<br />

will be crucial. The current private scramble for control of natural resources in many<br />

African countries by unscrupulous businesspeople from both OECD and emerging<br />

powers, and political elites all too clearly with souls and hearts of darkness, will<br />

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