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Africa at a Fork in the Road: Taking Off or Disappointment Once Again?<br />

patterns, there is no doubt great uncertainty about the performance of the economies<br />

of donor countries, and therefore future aid flows may at best be described<br />

as uncertain. Clearly, the potential adverse effect of the financial crisis on future aid<br />

flows to SSA suggests that FDI is likely to be more crucial to the region—as a tool<br />

to fill the resource gap, generate growth, and alleviate poverty.<br />

Figure 23.1: Net Foreign Direct Investment Flows to SSA, 1980-2010<br />

(constant 2005 US$, millions)<br />

Source: World Bank (2011) and calculations by authors.<br />

The potential positive effect of foreign direct investment on the host country’s economy<br />

is well articulated in UNCTAD (2002: 5), which notes that:<br />

Foreign direct investment contributes toward financing sustained economic growth<br />

over the long term. It is especially important for its potential to transfer knowledge<br />

and technology, create jobs, boost overall productivity, enhance competitiveness<br />

and entrepreneurship, and ultimately eradicate poverty through economic growth<br />

and development.<br />

Fortunately, FDI to SSA has increased substantially since 2000 (Figure 23.1).<br />

From 2000-09, net FDI inflows to the region increased by about 259 percent in real<br />

terms—from US$81 million in 2000 to about US$259 million in 2009 (WDI, 2011).<br />

An important question is whether countries in SSA will reap the potential positive<br />

externalities generated by FDI. We discuss this issue in detail in Sections 1.4 and 1.5.<br />

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