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Africa at a Fork in the Road: Taking Off or Disappointment Once Again?<br />

Table 12.7: Difference-in-Difference Estimates of the Effect of Electoral<br />

Competition on Regulatory Reform (Panel of 5-year averages, 1960/64 –<br />

2005/09)<br />

VARIABLES<br />

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)<br />

Reform<br />

Index<br />

Maximum<br />

Sample<br />

Reform Index Reform Index Reform Index Reform Index<br />

Largest Common Sample<br />

Electoral Comp (t-1) 0.0751** 0.0428 0.0500** 0.0546*** 0.0472**<br />

(0.0365) (0.0250) (0.0197) (0.0167) (0.0177)<br />

Neibrs Elect Comp (t-2) -0.0414** -0.0401** -0.0429**<br />

(0.0159) (0.0157) (0.0154)<br />

Civil War dummy (t-1) -0.00311 -0.00319 -0.0115<br />

(0.0276) (0.0291) (0.0458)<br />

Under IMF dum (t-1) -0.0215 -0.0424<br />

(0.0380) (0.0507)<br />

Trd Shr Ore/Metal (t-1) -0.00278<br />

(0.00269)<br />

Trade Shr Fuels (t-1) 0.00177*<br />

(0.000956)<br />

Dependency ratio (t-1) 0.673<br />

(1.611)<br />

Time trend 0.0756*** 0.101*** 0.112*** 0.112*** 0.121***<br />

(0.00911) (0.00787) (0.00845) (0.00817) (0.0198)<br />

Constant -0.222*** -0.405*** -0.351*** -0.343*** -0.680<br />

(0.0569) (0.0582) (0.0625) (0.0623) (0.923)<br />

Observations 171 53 53 53 53<br />

R-squared 0.764 0.885 0.901 0.902 0.909<br />

Country Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes<br />

Number of Countries 30 21 21 21 21<br />

Notes: Robust standard errors in parentheses. *** p

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