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Africa at a Fork in the Road: Taking Off or Disappointment Once Again?<br />

We also include in the regression a measure of political violence (CIVTOT), using<br />

data obtained from the Center for Systematic Peace. CIVTOT is the total summed<br />

magnitudes of all major episodes of political violence (MEPV) involving that country<br />

in that year. These include CIVVIOL, CIVWAR, ETHVIOL, and ETHWAR. CIVTOT<br />

thus measures the magnitude score of episode(s) of civil violence, civil warfare,<br />

ethnic violence, and ethnic warfare respectively involving that state in that year.<br />

For each major episode of political violence, the scale is 1 (lowest) to 10 (highest)<br />

depending on the magnitude of the violence or warfare. Scores for multiple MEPV<br />

are summed; 0 denotes no episodes. We also use CIVVIOL, CIVWAR, ETHVIOL,<br />

and ETHWAR independently in the regressions, looking out for high correlations<br />

and significance in the model.<br />

29.6 Results<br />

In this section, we first briefly discuss the characteristics of the data and then the<br />

results.<br />

Table 29.1 presents the summary statistics.<br />

Table 29.1: Summary Statistics<br />

The results show that, on average, African countries experienced a rising number<br />

of growth reversals over the sample period. The measure of the level of democracy<br />

shows that, on average, African countries became less democratic.<br />

Table 29.2: Correlations<br />

503

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