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Africa at a Fork in the Road: Taking Off or Disappointment Once Again?<br />

been the limited capabilities of local manufacturers. For example, the largest copper<br />

mining firms in Zambia find that local manufacturers lack the capacity to provide<br />

the mining inputs they need, and the largest gold mining firms in Ghana report<br />

similarly. More thorough implementation of local-content policies, and supportive<br />

investments in local suppliers, will help domestic firms link in to large and lucrative<br />

commodity markets to generate more economic activity and jobs across other<br />

sectors. Regarding beneficiation, firms report that their specialty lies in extraction<br />

rather than processing, highlighting the need for expanded knowledge networks<br />

and greater support to firms that branch into higher-value activities.<br />

Successful cases can be found across Africa of moving from commodity-based<br />

growth to a more sustainable and inclusive development trajectory. For example,<br />

Botswana has succeeded in adding value to mineral deposits, namely diamonds,<br />

and upgrading production to include cutting and polishing. Central to its success<br />

was the building of a strong and competent bureaucracy, and attracting FDI to<br />

higher-level processing activities within the diamond industry. Successful institutional<br />

reform focused on natural resource governance and management (Africa Progress<br />

Panel, 2013: 81). Even so, about half of Botswana’s GDP still comes from mining<br />

revenues, indicating that further diversification efforts are needed.<br />

The Ethiopian government has introduced a number of incentives and programs<br />

to raise the value-added content of leather and hide exports. These have included<br />

imposing export taxes of 150 percent on low value-added hides, and directly engaging<br />

foreign firms to provide skills and technological training to local firms through<br />

partnerships. As a result, 95 percent of Ethiopia’s leather exports are of processed<br />

leather.<br />

South Africa presents a success story of building distinctive upstream linkages,<br />

creating a network of firms supplying machinery for mining. Its mining equipment<br />

exports rose by 20 percent between 2010 and 2011 (ECA and AUC, 2013). The<br />

success of linking mining with manufacturing in South Africa has led to large income<br />

and employment multipliers. While mining directly yields R267 billion in revenue and<br />

524,000 jobs, when capturing indirect impacts, mining accounts for R536.1 billion<br />

in revenue and 1.35 million jobs. 2<br />

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