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Africa at a Fork in the Road: Taking Off or Disappointment Once Again?<br />

of inputs and outputs, and create efficient links with global markets (Cattaneo and<br />

others, 2013).<br />

Recent studies suggest that the reduction of supply-chain barriers to trade (i.e.<br />

barriers posed by border administration, transport, and telecommunications infrastructure<br />

and related services) would do more to speed the growth of GDP and<br />

trade than would the complete elimination of tariffs. For example, WEF (2013)<br />

suggests that the reduction of supply-chain barriers to trade could increase world<br />

GDP by nearly 5 percent and trade by 15 percent, compared to less than 1 percent<br />

and 10 percent, respectively, from a complete elimination of tariffs. As illustrated<br />

by Figure 16.3, Sub-Saharan Africa would be the main beneficiary if supply-chain<br />

barriers were removed.<br />

Figure 16.3: Reducing Supply-Chain Barriers: Impact on GDP and Trade<br />

Source: WEF (2013).<br />

16.3.1.3 Improving business and investment climates<br />

The improvement of business and investment climates is essential to attracting lead<br />

firms and connecting developing countries to value chains. Cattaneo and others<br />

(2013) stress that the importance of business climate may vary with the governance<br />

structure of value chains, decreasing as a value chain becomes more vertically<br />

integrated. Those authors distinguish five components of an effort to improve the<br />

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