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2. Africa’s Policy Choices in an<br />

Era of Rapid Growth<br />

Donald Kaberuka<br />

African Development Bank<br />

Africa is undoubtedly the most discussed continent currently. The discussions mainly<br />

center on her impressive economic performance and whether the growth can be<br />

sustained. There are three main views on Africa’s growth sustainability. First, there<br />

are people who think that Africa is rising because the factors driving today’s growth<br />

are different from those that drove growth in the previous decades. The second view<br />

is that “There is no country called Africa”: that African countries are heterogeneous,<br />

with different economic structures and human and physical endowments, so that<br />

we cannot expect Africa to behave like a single country. The third view is that “We<br />

have seen this over-optimism about Africa before” and it is only a matter of time<br />

before the bubble bursts.<br />

2.1 Rapid growth with no structural transformation<br />

Among these contestations are facts that are known and incontestable. First, it is a<br />

fact that Africa has recorded very impressive growth in the past decade. Sub-Saharan<br />

Africa’s average growth rate stood at an impressive 5.2 percent between 2000 and<br />

2013. Growth has however varied by region and production structure. The West<br />

African region led the pack at 6.84 percent over this period, followed by East Africa<br />

at 6.40 percent and Central Africa at 5.41 percent. Southern Africa grew at 4.49<br />

percent and North Africa at 4.47 percent, mainly because of the effects on South<br />

Africa of the global financial crisis and the effects on North Africa of the Arab Spring.<br />

Net oil exporting countries grew by 5.77 percent while net oil importers grew at 4.55<br />

39

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