to heating costs of 14,5 ct/kWh. The emissi<strong>on</strong>s of sucha system are 8,9 g CO 2 /kWh.The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaIf the heating amount of the 50 % scenario is used butwithout a storage [scenario 3], <strong>and</strong> therefore withoutthose losses, a much smaller collector area iscalculated. However, the produced heat has to be useddirectly within a large heating grid. For such a system2542 m² of solar thermal collectors are needed whichproduce 1071 MWh/a. The smaller collector area <strong>and</strong>the eliminati<strong>on</strong> of a storage system give heating costsof 7,7 ct/kWh. On the other h<strong>and</strong> the emissi<strong>on</strong>s of sucha system are higher because of the necessary pumpenergy for the pressure compensati<strong>on</strong>. The totalspecific emissi<strong>on</strong>s of that system are 12,2 g/kWh.Fig 2: CO 2 emissi<strong>on</strong>s of different system [1], [5]Under c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> of scenario 4, the heat costs are13,8 ct/kWh within a single family house. If a heatinggrid would be used for storage <strong>and</strong> therefore no largethermal storage is necessary, the heat costs can godown to about 11 ct/kWh. If the losses of the storagesystem are included in the calculati<strong>on</strong>, a smaller grossarea of collectors can be used. Combining all thosesavings, the heat cost for a single-family house can godown to 7,2 ct/kWh (scenario 5). This shows, that thereis a wide margin <strong>and</strong> a high potential of cost reducti<strong>on</strong>if a heat grid is used. But it has to be said, that thoseheat costs are still much higher than from other heatgenerating systems.Table 4 shows the technical results <strong>and</strong> parameters foreach calculated scenario. Based <strong>on</strong> those figures thefinancial <strong>and</strong> ecological calculati<strong>on</strong> where made. Thoseresults are shown in Figure 1 <strong>and</strong> 3. For the renewabletechnologies the increase of 2% of the heat costs caneasily be included in the calculati<strong>on</strong>. For the fossil (<strong>and</strong>the biomass) use, the heat price is highly dependent <strong>on</strong>the fuel price development. Therefore a price range isgiven <strong>on</strong> those systems. The reas<strong>on</strong> for the range forfossil CHP heat CO 2 emissi<strong>on</strong>s is that differentreferences are used.Table 4: output parameters of simulati<strong>on</strong>scenarioCollector grossarea [m²]Producedheat[MWh/a]Storagesize[m³]1 3080 1076 28202 1916 493,6 175Fig 3: heat costs of different system [1], [20]CONCLUSIONTo make the solar thermal heat producti<strong>on</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omicalcompared to the other systems, different aspects haveto be changed. In order to show the potential of costreducti<strong>on</strong> for solar thermal heat generati<strong>on</strong> a sensitivityanalyses has been carried out. The followingparameters have been varied in order to reach a heatprices of around 3,5 ct/kWh in the beginning year. Thisis the actual heat price for private customers inMannheim.Future heat price developmentChange of investmentAmount of financial supportInternal Rate of Return3 2542 1071 -4 44 11,6 45 29 11,6 -137
The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaTable 5: parameters for ec<strong>on</strong>omical operati<strong>on</strong>Scenario 1 Scenario 3Heat costs 3,5 ct/kWh 3,4 ct/kWhIRR 5 % 5 %Capital cost 70 % 90 %Financial support 40 % 30 %Heat pricedevelopment8 % p.a. 8 % p.a.Fig 4: influence <strong>on</strong> the heat costs of different factorsFigure 4 shows the influence of the different factors, ifthe others stay the same. But it also shows, that bychanging just <strong>on</strong>e aspect, a reducti<strong>on</strong> of the heat costto 3,5 ct/kWh is <strong>on</strong>ly possible with lowering the capitalcosts by 50% of the scenario without a thermal storage[scenario 3].Therefore a combinati<strong>on</strong> of different factors was d<strong>on</strong>e.The capital costs are also influenced by the financialsupport und were calculated separately.In order to reduce the heat costs down to about3,5 ct/kWh in scenario 1, a reducti<strong>on</strong> of the capital costby 40% combined with financial support of 50% isnecessary, if the heat price will rise with 8% per year.This is higher than shown in figure 4 <strong>and</strong> is based <strong>on</strong> ahigh price assumpti<strong>on</strong> as reported in [10].If a lower IRR is assumed (5 %), the capital costs haveto go down to 70 % <strong>and</strong> a financial support of 40% ofthe investment is necessary.For scenario 3, a rise of the heat price <strong>and</strong> the lowerIRR (5 %) just need a reducti<strong>on</strong> of capital costs of 10 %to achieve heat costs of 3,4 ct/kWh. In this case theassumed financial support of 30% stays the same. Thisshows that an ec<strong>on</strong>omical use of solar thermal energywithin district heating could be achieved. The financialsupport of 30% can be possible based <strong>on</strong> a KfWprogram, the capital costs of 90% of the baseinvestment is possible within a feasibility study <strong>and</strong> the5% IRR is an average figure for building loans.The high requirements to make the solar heat profitableshow, that this technology is not advisable if otherrenewable energy sources are available. Furthermorefor the technical integrati<strong>on</strong> a low temperature heatinggrid is necessary.For the near future it might get more interesting to look<strong>on</strong> the biomass <strong>and</strong> geothermal heat, particular if theheat is needed in a regi<strong>on</strong> where high temperatures inthe depth could be exploited or cheap biomass sourcesare available. Further research in the solar collectortechnology is needed to lower the capital costs <strong>and</strong>equally within the thermal storage technology, as itmight get interesting in the future to include those evenin district heating grids with fossil fuels as heat sourceto cover peaks in the dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> transfer a surplusheat producti<strong>on</strong> from the summer into the winterseas<strong>on</strong>.NOMENCLATUREW [J]∆Q [J]∆p [Pa]∆T [K]cp [J/(kg*K)]ρ [kg/m³]ηREFERENCESwork of pumpheat flowpressure difference (flow / return)temperature difference (flow / return)heat capacitydensitypump efficiency[1] Begerow, P.; Integrati<strong>on</strong> v<strong>on</strong> erneuerbarenEnergien in Fernwärmenetze – Eine technischeund wirtschaftliche Analyse aus Sicht einesFernwärmeversorgers, Diplomarbeit an derUniversität Flensburg, MVV Energie AG,Mannheim; 2010.[2] Bodmann, M.; Mangold, D.; Nußbicker, J.; Raab,S.; Schenke, A.; Schmidt, T.: Solar unterstützeNahwärmeversorgung und Langzeit-Wärmespeicher; Forschungsbericht zum BMWAVorhaben; Universität Stuttgart; 2005138
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