The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaDISTRIBUTION OF HEAT USE IN SWEDENMargaretha Borgström, Sven Werner1 School of Business <strong>and</strong> EngineeringHalmstad University, PO box 823, S-301 18 Halmstad SwedenABSTRACTThe current heat use refers normally to the averageheat use in a country or a sector during the course of ayear. But it is also important to be aware of thedistributi<strong>on</strong> of high to low use when estimating thepotential for reducing total heat use.Energy statistical data published in the annual reportfrom Statistics Sweden have been supplemented by adeeper analysis of distributi<strong>on</strong> of heat use <strong>and</strong>systematic causes regarding high heat use.The aim of this paper is to explain the variati<strong>on</strong> in heatuse with respect to c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year, degree days <strong>and</strong>energy efficiency measures.In the Swedish energy efficiency debate, many voicesrefer to systematic causes for high heat use. However,the results from this study do not support this opini<strong>on</strong>,since the use distributi<strong>on</strong> mostly comes from individualcauses. The most important implicati<strong>on</strong> of the studyresults is that systematic policy measures will have alow impact <strong>on</strong> the total nati<strong>on</strong>al energy efficiency.INTRODUCTIONcorresp<strong>on</strong>ding to 310 milli<strong>on</strong> square metres in multifamilybuildings <strong>and</strong> service sector premises. Thesurvey sample thus c<strong>on</strong>stituted a sizable porti<strong>on</strong> of theentire building stock.This energy statistical data, published in the annualreports from Statistics Sweden, have beensupplemented with a deeper analysis of the distributi<strong>on</strong>of the heat use <strong>and</strong> the systematic causes regardinghigh heat use. Independent variables for explanati<strong>on</strong> ofvariati<strong>on</strong>s were number of degree-days, c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>year, ventilati<strong>on</strong> system, energy efficiency measure,<strong>and</strong> co-use of heat supply. High <strong>and</strong> low users werealso analysed by locati<strong>on</strong>, c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year, heatsupply method, ownership, <strong>and</strong> building size [3]. In thisshort paper, the specific heat use will be presented byits distributi<strong>on</strong>, c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year, degree days <strong>and</strong>energy efficiency measures.1. Distributi<strong>on</strong> of heat useThe total distributi<strong>on</strong> of specific heat use as a functi<strong>on</strong>of the percentage of the building area of all multi-familybuildings <strong>and</strong> service sector premises in Sweden isshown in Fig. 1.Multi-family residential buildings <strong>and</strong> service sectorpremises c<strong>on</strong>stitute 80% of the customer stock in theSwedish district heating systems. The level of futureheat use in these buildings will thus have a str<strong>on</strong>ginfluence <strong>on</strong> the future district heating ec<strong>on</strong>omy <strong>and</strong> thecorresp<strong>on</strong>ding investment dem<strong>and</strong>. It is therefore ofinterest to collect informati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> make analyses of thecostumer heat use <strong>and</strong> how the heat use will develop inthe future.Specific heat use in multi-family buildings <strong>and</strong> servicesector premises has decreased c<strong>on</strong>siderably since the1970‘s. In 2006, the specific heat use in multi-familybuildings has decreased by 38% compared to the heatuse in 1972. The lower heat use is due to increasingenergy prices <strong>and</strong> more energy efficient buildings.An extensive study of the current heat use for buildingsin Sweden has been performed. The input informati<strong>on</strong>for this study was c<strong>on</strong>stituted by the an<strong>on</strong>ymousresp<strong>on</strong>ses to the annual survey of energy use in multifamilybuildings <strong>and</strong> service sector premises performedfor 2006 by Statistics Sweden, [1] & [2]. The resp<strong>on</strong>sesprovided input data from 11253 buildings having a totalarea of 77.6 milli<strong>on</strong> square metres. By using scalingfactors, estimates could be made for the entire country,273Heat usekWh/m 240035030025020015010050Multi-family buildingsPremises00% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%Share of all nati<strong>on</strong>al building spaceFig. 1 Heat use distributi<strong>on</strong> during 2006 as a functi<strong>on</strong> ofthe share of all nati<strong>on</strong>al building space. The diagram is anestimati<strong>on</strong> for all multi-family <strong>and</strong> service buildings inSweden.The area under each curve is the total heat used inmulti-family buildings <strong>and</strong> service sector premisesduring 2006. The figure shows that 13% of the area inmulti-family buildings had a specific heat use of morethan 200 kWh/m 2 , <strong>and</strong> 12% of the area in servicesector premises had a specific heat use of more than200 kWh/m 2 . This result shows that there are no majordifferences between the percentages of the building
The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaarea with high heat use in multi-family buildings <strong>and</strong>service sector premises.The results in Fig. 1 also show that 11% of the buildingareas in multi-family buildings, <strong>and</strong> 31% of the buildingarea in service sector premises have a specific heatuse lower than 100 kWh/m2.Buildings with heat use 200 kWh/m2 or more havebeen further analysed <strong>and</strong> the results are presented inthe following secti<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sidering c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year.2. C<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> yearFig. 2 shows specific heat use in multi-family buildingsas a functi<strong>on</strong> of c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year. The figure alsoincludes the average value each year, together givingthe total average specific heat use of 152 kWh/m2.There are no major differences in heat use in buildingsc<strong>on</strong>structed before 1980. After 1980, the heat use wasapproximated 15% lower than the average heat use forall buildings in Sweden.The relati<strong>on</strong>ship between c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year <strong>and</strong> highheat use in buildings has been analysed. The definiti<strong>on</strong>of high heat use is 200 kWh/m2 or more. Fig. 4 showsthe results for multi-family buildings. There were a totalof 179.3 milli<strong>on</strong>s square metres in multi-family buildingsin 2006 <strong>and</strong> 13% of the heated area had heat use of atleast 200 kWh/m2.Of special interest are buildings built during the period1965–74, when a large part of the existing buildings inSweden were built. During this period there were norequirements for low energy use in buildings.In multi-family buildings built during the period1965–74, 30% of the total area had heat use of at least200 kWh/m2 <strong>and</strong> for buildings built in the period1941–60. 42% of the total building area had heat useof 200 kWh/m2 or more.Heat usekWh/m 24003503002502001501005001930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010C<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> yearFig. 2 Specific heat use as a functi<strong>on</strong> of c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> yearfor 4285 multi-family buildingsFig. 4 Total square metres where heat use is higher orequal to 200 kWh/m2 in multi-family buildings categorisedby c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year.Heat usekWh/m 24003503002502001501005001930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010C<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> yearFig. 3 Specific heat use as a functi<strong>on</strong> of c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> yearfor 4061 service sector buildings.The heat use in service sector premises is shown inFig. 3. Also in these buildings, the average heat useafter 1980 is lower (about 10%) than the average heatuse in all service sector premises in Sweden.Fig. 5 Total square metres where heat use is higher orequal to 200 kWh/m2 in service sector premisescategorised by c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year.The relati<strong>on</strong>ship between high heat use in servicesector premises <strong>and</strong> c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> year is shown inFig. 5. During 2006, 15.6 milli<strong>on</strong> square metres hadheat use of at least 200 kWh/m 2 . Service sectorpremises built between 1965 <strong>and</strong> 1974 had high heatuse in 3.5 milli<strong>on</strong> square metres.274
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