The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaThe main advantage with capacity trading is to avoidpeak load, which often is oil-based, which is costly bothfor the fuel price but also because of the emissi<strong>on</strong>s.Another point is that, as the Fortum representativesaid, it is possible to even out effect between systems.One system may have cheaper base load than theother, <strong>and</strong> for tax reas<strong>on</strong>s it may be cheaper to buyfrom the other than to use peak load.One factor that is pointed out for a successfulcooperati<strong>on</strong> is that both parties can benefit from it. Asin all business, it is important that the cooperati<strong>on</strong> becorrect from a business st<strong>and</strong>point <strong>and</strong> that both partsare satisfied [24].The extent of cooperati<strong>on</strong> varies between thecompanies. Some have more extensive cooperati<strong>on</strong>with daily trades, like Fortum <strong>and</strong> Söderenergi, whileothers, for example Fortum <strong>and</strong> E.ON, do not tradeevery day. In the latter case, they normally do not tradeas much during winter, although sometimes when peakload is needed it is decided quickly [25]. Anotheradvantage with the interc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>s is that thecompanies can cooperate regarding revisi<strong>on</strong>s of theplants. While <strong>on</strong>e company has revisi<strong>on</strong> duringsummer, the other can produce for the other company.The factors that are seen as barriers are seldomtechnical. The companies think that the technicalproblems often can be solved while making theinterc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> at that point there is a need t<strong>on</strong>egotiate certain aspects. For example, who providesthe electrical energy for the pumps <strong>and</strong> takesresp<strong>on</strong>sibility for the regulati<strong>on</strong> of the water pressure inthe culverts <strong>and</strong> repairing the system in a joint part ofthe system? However, this is often solved:Yes, the other things we can h<strong>and</strong>le while building thetechnical parts. At that point we hopefully haveidentified all technical barriers so that they can betaken into account. They should not appear duringproducti<strong>on</strong>. Settlement of account <strong>and</strong> such things,they are not a big problem although complicated.However, it is nothing that makes you pass <strong>on</strong> aprofitable cooperati<strong>on</strong> [23].In the above quote, we see <strong>on</strong>e of the disadvantageswith today's cooperati<strong>on</strong>, <strong>on</strong> which all the companiesagree, <strong>and</strong> that is the settlement of accounts. It iscomplicated to c<strong>on</strong>trol the systems <strong>and</strong> the trades, <strong>and</strong>it requires staff to do so.5.2 Barriers towards more co-operati<strong>on</strong>sIn the interviews the companies expressed satisfacti<strong>on</strong>with the present cooperati<strong>on</strong>. Few actual barriers assuch were expressed, except the <strong>on</strong>es that today‘ssituati<strong>on</strong> creates. For example, it is almostgeographically impossible to exp<strong>and</strong> the systems tosmaller systems nearby. As could be seen in themodelling, the systems are also already wellinterc<strong>on</strong>nected:Yes, the principal structure is already established. (…)It is this c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>, between the central <strong>and</strong> thenorthwest system, it is the <strong>on</strong>ly <strong>on</strong>e. That is not solvedyet [23].This particular c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> would interc<strong>on</strong>nect the twomain systems, <strong>and</strong> has been discussed in someinvestigati<strong>on</strong>s [26], [27]. However, it is yet to be d<strong>on</strong>e.This c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> is most important for Fortum, as forexample E.ON thought that it made little difference tothem.The other main c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> still missing is c<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>between the south system <strong>and</strong> Vattenfall's system inthe southeast. Vattenfall thinks that the questi<strong>on</strong> hasbeen raised <strong>on</strong> occasi<strong>on</strong>, although never realized. Theygive no specific reas<strong>on</strong> for this; they state that allcooperati<strong>on</strong> is important <strong>and</strong> that differentinvestigati<strong>on</strong>s have shown the advantages, although itis difficult to quantify what it means practically [28].Stockholms Energi (now Fortum) previously owned <strong>on</strong>eof the plants, <strong>and</strong> there were plans to interc<strong>on</strong>nect thesystems then. Fortum gives no explanati<strong>on</strong> for why theinterc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> has not been d<strong>on</strong>e earlier or now.Although no direct comments regarding the lack ofinterc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> were made, <strong>on</strong>e of the intervieweeswho previously worked at Vattenfall said that there wasan opini<strong>on</strong> at Vattenfall that they prefer to keep tothemselves, without interc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>s, <strong>and</strong> should notwork towards cooperati<strong>on</strong>. Comments without aspecific directi<strong>on</strong> were also expressed in interviews thatthere was a lack of will to cooperate from somecompanies. There is also a history of rivalry betweenVattenfall <strong>and</strong> the former Stockholms Energi [29]. It ispossible that this rivalry stills exists. Fortum alsoexpressed opini<strong>on</strong>s about the fact that other companiesare building their own CHP plants instead of trying tofind regi<strong>on</strong>al soluti<strong>on</strong>s.5.3 Building CHP in the systemAs seen in the scenarios, in the near future in Swedenmany CHP plants are planned <strong>and</strong> will start to be built.In Stockholm most of the companies have plans forCHP, <strong>and</strong> two of them have already built in the lastyears, for example Igelsta (Söderenergi) <strong>and</strong> Jordbro(Vattenfall). Other companies are making plans, suchas Norrenergi, EON <strong>and</strong> Fortum. The reas<strong>on</strong>s forbuilding CHP are varied, but the most clear is that theysee ec<strong>on</strong>omic advantages in selling electricity, <strong>and</strong> ourstagnating heat load ahead. By selling electricity thereis a possibility to keep profits high, even with astagnating heat load. The system is also relatively old<strong>and</strong> well established; the potential for furtherc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>s are getting smaller as saturati<strong>on</strong> in the293
heating market for district heating makes it moredifficult to exp<strong>and</strong>:A rough rule of thumb has been that the expansi<strong>on</strong> withnew customers that have been, (...), has been eaten upby the efficiency we could achieve together with thecustomers in their buildings. So basically, the heat loadhas been static in our area for quite some time. (…)…[The reas<strong>on</strong> for building CHP] is the electricity. We,as the producing company, have the problem that wecan not exp<strong>and</strong>. We have our two customers <strong>and</strong>district heating is not a new thing in the municipalitiesso the chance of getting new customers is limited [22].The other representatives are of a similar opini<strong>on</strong>, thata stagnating load can be expected, <strong>and</strong> CHP is a wayto keep profits high. The Swedish certificate systemalso makes it advantageous to build new bio-fuelledCHP-plants. Another reas<strong>on</strong>, arguably of a morerhetorical character, is that building CHP is moreec<strong>on</strong>omically <strong>and</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mentally correct since the fuelefficiency is higher with CHPs. As scenarios 4–8 show,there is major potential for reducing local <strong>and</strong> globalCO 2 emissi<strong>on</strong>s.In the interviews we also asked questi<strong>on</strong>s about thepossibility of an introducti<strong>on</strong> of natural gas in theregi<strong>on</strong>. Investigati<strong>on</strong>s have been made earlier by theabove menti<strong>on</strong>ed STOSEB; however, the plans nevercame to reality. Generally the representatives did notthink that an introducti<strong>on</strong> would happen. Since most ofthem also have strategies to be climate neutral, naturalgas probably is not an opti<strong>on</strong>. The large investments ininfrastructure are another barrier:These are such large infrastructure investments <strong>and</strong>natural gas is not especially cheap either. It is difficultto come in with natural gas in this energy system. It israther stable [23].What the representative here points at is also theinertia in the system. In LTS terms it is calledmomentum: as the system is stable, it is difficult tochange the structure [18], [19].6. CONCLUDING DISCUSSIONThe study has shown the advantages of aninterdisciplinary approach. Advantages withinterc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>s <strong>and</strong> CHP have been shown in themodelling; however, as there are many different actorsinvolved, there is a need for a will to cooperate. Theinterc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong>s have a historical background, with anaim for higher supply security, <strong>and</strong> today most of themc<strong>on</strong>tinue to cooperate, despite the fact that thestructure <strong>and</strong> ownership of the companies in somecases have changed since the deregulati<strong>on</strong> of theelectricity market in 1996. As previous studies haveshown, the main advantages with cooperati<strong>on</strong> havebeen ec<strong>on</strong>omic, as is also the case in this system. TheThe <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>ia294actors say that they can optimise the system'sperformance, <strong>and</strong> our scenarios have shown that morecooperati<strong>on</strong> could benefit them even moreec<strong>on</strong>omically. Even though the gain is not extremelyhigh, since the lower system cost would beapproximately 5%, there is potential. However, sincethere seems to be reluctance to cooperate betweensome actors, it is difficult to fulfil the potential.Advantages with the cooperati<strong>on</strong> are said to be apossibility to even out the producti<strong>on</strong> in the system <strong>and</strong>thus avoid peak load. The disadvantages with thecooperati<strong>on</strong> are the need for more administrative workto c<strong>on</strong>trol the system <strong>and</strong> the trades; the c<strong>on</strong>trol of thesystem becomes more complex. This study alsoc<strong>on</strong>firms previous studies that have pointed out thattechnical aspects are seldom barriers to cooperati<strong>on</strong>.Most things are solved while the systems are beinginterc<strong>on</strong>nected, <strong>and</strong> the will of the pers<strong>on</strong>s involved tocooperate is important.There is a large potential in building new CHP plants,both from an ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>and</strong> an envir<strong>on</strong>mentalperspective. If all the plants in the system werereplaced by BCHP or NGCHP, the electricity producedcould make up to 4.5 or 12% of total Swedish electricityproducti<strong>on</strong>, based <strong>on</strong> the fact that total producti<strong>on</strong> inSweden in 2008 was 146 TWh [1]. The reas<strong>on</strong> that thedifference between the electricity producti<strong>on</strong>s in thosetwo cases is so large is a big difference between theelectrical/thermal outputs (see Table V). The introducti<strong>on</strong>of NGCHP is a less likely future since it can bec<strong>on</strong>sidered <strong>on</strong>ly with the assumpti<strong>on</strong> that the naturalgas network already exists al<strong>on</strong>g the Swedish eastcost. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, introducing more BCHP in thedistrict heating system would increase the system‘sdependence <strong>on</strong> biomass availability <strong>and</strong> the heatproducti<strong>on</strong> cost would become highly sensitive to thesolid biomass cost. The actors are highly aware of thepotential for CHPs. Since they are expecting astagnating heat load, the sale of electricity is a way tokeep profits high. However, n<strong>on</strong>e of them think thatnatural gas will become a reality in the near future, <strong>and</strong>even if it did, the introducti<strong>on</strong> is expected to besomewhat problematic, since the fuel can bec<strong>on</strong>sidered fossil fuel <strong>and</strong> substantial infrastructure isneeded.The study has shown a potential for decreased LECO 2<strong>and</strong> GECO 2 . The largest potential from a localperspective is from BCHP; so, since the LECO 2 wouldbe low <strong>and</strong> with high electricity producti<strong>on</strong>, the potentialfor lower GECO 2 would exist. The high electricity-toheatoutput ratio in NGCHP has a high potential fordecreasing GECO 2 of the system. If all plants in thesystem would be replaced with NGCHP the GECO2 ofthe system would be -9 milli<strong>on</strong> t<strong>on</strong>s annually. However,in that case LECO 2 would be much higher than today.
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