The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaABSTRACTCOMPETITIVENESS OF COMBINED HEAT AND POWER PLANT TECHNOLOGIESIN ESTONIAN CONDITIONSThe goal of this paper is to evaluate competitiveness ofmarket ready combined heat <strong>and</strong> power (hereaftercalled as ―CHP‖) technologies for CHP expansi<strong>on</strong>potential locati<strong>on</strong>s in Est<strong>on</strong>ian. The main criteria toindicate preference of CHP technology is a heat priceby which the internal rate of return is equal to investors‘expectati<strong>on</strong>s.Calculati<strong>on</strong> results shows, that in spite of theadvantages of gas engines (relatively low investmentcosts <strong>and</strong> high electrical efficiency) the calculated heatprices are the highest. Heat price for expected 7% IRRis 53–61 EURO/MWhheat depending <strong>on</strong> heat dem<strong>and</strong>.It is mainly because of relatively high natural gas price.Under 5 MWel ORC is competitive to steamturbine/engine technology. Heat prices are lower for1–4 EURO/MWhfuel, depending <strong>on</strong> heat dem<strong>and</strong>s.Heat prices for places with annual heat dem<strong>and</strong> under20 000 MWh are mainly above 45 EURO/MWhfuel(average heat prices for biomass boiler houses inEst<strong>on</strong>ia is between 40–45 EURO/MWh). Developing ofCHP plants in such areas is feasible in the case ofgrant payments for investments. CHP plantdevelopment based <strong>on</strong> wood chips or peat could befeasible without grant payments in the places whereheat dem<strong>and</strong> exceed 30 000–40 000 MWh annual.Carefully selected CHP technology <strong>and</strong> capacity canafford higher IRR when keeping competitive heatprices.The most feasible places for CHP expansi<strong>on</strong> in Est<strong>on</strong>iaare Maardu, Vilj<strong>and</strong>i, Rakvere, Valga, Haapsalu, Võru,Paide <strong>and</strong> Põlva.INTRODUCTIONThis paper draws <strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong>going project ‗Analysis <strong>on</strong> thetechnical <strong>and</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic c<strong>on</strong>sequences of renewableenergy based CHP systems in new areas with thelowered useful heat dem<strong>and</strong> or after implementati<strong>on</strong> ofenergy c<strong>on</strong>servati<strong>on</strong> measures in the areas with olderbuildings‘ within the project ‗Primary Energy Efficiency‘partly financed by NER, which c<strong>on</strong>tributes to the effortof enhancing the primary energy efficiency (PEE) <strong>and</strong>reducing CO2 emissi<strong>on</strong>s in the energy sector.Present-day world energy policy is based <strong>on</strong> two maindirecti<strong>on</strong>s: energy efficiency <strong>and</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mentalprotecti<strong>on</strong>. Efficient CHP producti<strong>on</strong> is <strong>on</strong>e of theE. Latõšov 1 <strong>and</strong> A. Siirde 11Department of Thermal EngineeringTallinn University of Technology, Tallinn, ESTONIA267energy c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> effective methods, where CHPproducti<strong>on</strong> from the renewable fuels is preferable. [1]During the last 2 years a few CHP plants working <strong>on</strong>woodchips <strong>and</strong> peat were build in Est<strong>on</strong>ia. A few ofbiomass CHP plants are under active development. Allof them are planed or c<strong>on</strong>structed in major Est<strong>on</strong>iancities <strong>and</strong> are based <strong>on</strong> backpressure steam turbinetechnology. At the same time feed-in tariffs as well aspossibilities to get grants for exp<strong>and</strong>ing of CHP <strong>and</strong>usage of renewable fuels makes CHP expansi<strong>on</strong> moreattractive for locati<strong>on</strong>s with a lower heat dem<strong>and</strong>s.Steam turbine technology is a classic for CHP plants.But in relatively small-scale boilers <strong>and</strong> district heatingsystems use of steam turbines is c<strong>on</strong>nected toec<strong>on</strong>omically less efficient operati<strong>on</strong> (comm<strong>on</strong>ly higherspecific investment costs, O&M costs <strong>and</strong> lowerelectrical efficiency) where use of other alternative CHPtechnologies could be preferable.The goal of this paper is to evaluate competitiveness ofmarket ready CHP technologies for CHP expansi<strong>on</strong>potential locati<strong>on</strong>s in Est<strong>on</strong>ian. The main criteria toindicate preference of CHP technology is a heat priceby which the internal rate of return (hereafter called as―IRR‖) is equal to investors‘ expectati<strong>on</strong>s.The paper is structured as follows. After an overview ofplaces where c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong> of CHP plants can bereas<strong>on</strong>able the paper provides principles for evaluati<strong>on</strong>of CHP technologies competitiveness. Next secti<strong>on</strong>sprovide an overview of the CHP technologies whichcan be used in CHP plants <strong>and</strong> descripti<strong>on</strong>s of mainfuel sources for energy producti<strong>on</strong> in Est<strong>on</strong>ia. The lastsecti<strong>on</strong> provides heat price calculati<strong>on</strong> examples based<strong>on</strong> proposed principles for evaluati<strong>on</strong> of CHPtechnologies competitiveness.LOCATIONS OF POTENTIAL BIOFUELED CHPPLANTS IN ESTONIAFig. 1 shows major Est<strong>on</strong>ian cities <strong>and</strong> municipalitieswhich are distributed by the annual heat dem<strong>and</strong>s.Places where CHP plants are already c<strong>on</strong>structed orunder c<strong>on</strong>structi<strong>on</strong>, as well as in a state of activedevelopment are marked separately.Fig. 1 reflects well known principles, where thec<strong>on</strong>sumers with higher annual heat c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong>s aremore preferable.
The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaFig. 1 Distributi<strong>on</strong> of Est<strong>on</strong>ian cities <strong>and</strong> municipalities by the annual heat dem<strong>and</strong>sPRINCIPLES FOR EVALUATION OF CHPTECHNOLOGIES COMPETITIVENESSThe revenues of a CHP company are generated fromthe heat <strong>and</strong> electricity sales. Theoretically they mustcover the operati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> maintenance (hereafter calledas ―O&M‖) costs of the CHP plant completely <strong>and</strong>provide an expected IRR. Main CHP plant related costs<strong>and</strong> incomes are shown in Fig. 2.Income from the heat sells depends <strong>on</strong> amount of soldheat (computable value) <strong>and</strong> heat price.Knowing investment costs (specified in secti<strong>on</strong> CHPtechnologies), <strong>and</strong> other above menti<strong>on</strong>ed costs <strong>and</strong>incomes the power plant operati<strong>on</strong> annual net cash flowscan be calculated <strong>and</strong> IRR defined.The principle for evaluati<strong>on</strong> of CHP technologiescompetitiveness is based <strong>on</strong> finding such heat pricewhich will cause an expected (proposed) IRR, wherecalculati<strong>on</strong>/estimati<strong>on</strong> rules for the other cash flowscomp<strong>on</strong>ents are clearly defined.CHP TECHNOLOGIESThere are numerous CHP technologies that can betheoretically used for small scale CHP systems, but notall of them are ec<strong>on</strong>omically <strong>and</strong> technically feasible.The list of main CHP technologies ordered by marketreadiness <strong>and</strong> comm<strong>on</strong> heat outputs are shown in Fig. 3.Fig. 2 CHP plant incomes <strong>and</strong> costsFuel costs, polluti<strong>on</strong> charges <strong>and</strong> ash h<strong>and</strong>ling costs aremainly depend <strong>on</strong> used fuel properties <strong>and</strong> areestimated in secti<strong>on</strong> Fuel sources for energy producti<strong>on</strong>.CHP technology related fixed operati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong>maintenance costs depend <strong>on</strong> selected CHP technology<strong>and</strong> are defined in % from the investment costs annual.They are estimated in secti<strong>on</strong> CHP technologies.Electricity sells depends <strong>on</strong> amount of producedelectricity (computable value) <strong>and</strong> fuel prices. Fuel pricesare estimated by taken into account feed-in tariffsdescribed in Electricity Market Act [2].It is important to c<strong>on</strong>sider the market ready soluti<strong>on</strong>s firstof all, such as a steam turbine (hereafter called as ―ST‖),steam engine (hereafter called as ―SE‖), ORCtechnology (hereafter called as ―ORC‖) <strong>and</strong> gas engine(hereafter called as ―GE‖). Hereafter SE <strong>and</strong> ST arec<strong>on</strong>sidered jointly, where capacities less than 1 MWelcorresp<strong>on</strong>d to SE by default.For CHP plant ec<strong>on</strong>omical calculati<strong>on</strong>s it is important toknow such CHP plant parameters as efficiencies, price<strong>and</strong> O&M costs.Above menti<strong>on</strong>ed parameters are obtained <strong>and</strong>systemized <strong>on</strong> the basis of informati<strong>on</strong> regarding CHPplants collected from different informati<strong>on</strong> sources suchas [3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8].268
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