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12th International Symposium on District Heating and Cooling

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The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaIt was also shown that if all plants in the system arereplaced with BCHP plants, with an electricity-to-heatoutput ratio 0.46, up to 10TWh electricity can beproduced <strong>and</strong> the potential for decrease of GECO 2 ofthe system would be 3 t<strong>on</strong>s CO 2 annually. If all plantsin the system are replaced with NGCHP plants, with anelectricity-to-heat output ratio 1.2, the electricitygenerati<strong>on</strong> in the system can increase to 11TWh <strong>and</strong>the potential for decrease of the GECO 2 of the systemwould be about 5 t<strong>on</strong>s CO 2 annually. However, sincethese two studies were d<strong>on</strong>e, a new c<strong>on</strong>nectivitybetween networks has been built <strong>and</strong> the total installedelectricity capacity in the system has increased by 20%[5]. Furthermore, new CHP technologies are c<strong>on</strong>stantlybeing developed, which enable greater electricityefficiency <strong>and</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sequently greater benefits fromec<strong>on</strong>omic, energy <strong>and</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mental viewpoints.Regarding interc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> cooperati<strong>on</strong> of DHsystems, some studies have been c<strong>on</strong>ducted in aSwedish c<strong>on</strong>text. However, n<strong>on</strong>e of them have focused<strong>on</strong> cooperati<strong>on</strong> between energy companies. They haveinstead focused <strong>on</strong> cooperati<strong>on</strong> between energycompanies <strong>and</strong> industry.Tholl<strong>and</strong>er et al. [15] found that technical aspects areseldom barriers to cooperati<strong>on</strong>. The barriers are ratherrisk, different aspects of informati<strong>on</strong> duringnegotiati<strong>on</strong>s, <strong>and</strong> other social factors such as inertiaam<strong>on</strong>g pers<strong>on</strong>nel. Driving forces have been ec<strong>on</strong>omicfactors such as an aim for lower costs <strong>and</strong> means ofc<strong>on</strong>trol, as well as envir<strong>on</strong>mental values. In a study witha similar aim, Fors [16] found the same results, thattechnical aspects are seldom barriers. Informati<strong>on</strong>during negotiati<strong>on</strong>s, stable c<strong>on</strong>tracts <strong>and</strong> theimportance of involving the pers<strong>on</strong>nel at the plants inthe process are important factors. It is also importantthat the cooperati<strong>on</strong> benefits both parties. Grönkvistet al.[17] reached a similar c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong> in a study thatemphasises the importance of the willingness of people<strong>on</strong> both sides to cooperate. The main advantages ofthe cooperati<strong>on</strong> are lower costs <strong>and</strong> benefits for theenvir<strong>on</strong>ment, while the main disadvantages are lessflexibility as both parties work under c<strong>on</strong>tracts.Historically, interc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> of technical systems hasbeen seen in the theory of Large Technical Systems as<strong>on</strong>e way for systems to grow. Systems start in a localc<strong>on</strong>text, but when the technology is transferred to othergeographic areas, the systems grow <strong>and</strong> can then beinterc<strong>on</strong>nected as they often have grown into eachother. Interc<strong>on</strong>necti<strong>on</strong> of systems can also beexplained through the fact that larger systems have ahigher load factor <strong>and</strong> better ec<strong>on</strong>omic mix [18], [19],[20].4. RESULTS OF THE SCENARIOSThe results from the scenarios are presented inTable VI <strong>and</strong> Table VII.According to the optimisati<strong>on</strong> results, if betterc<strong>on</strong>nectivity is introduced, some ec<strong>on</strong>omic benefitsexist. In both cases the case with <strong>on</strong>ly existing plants inthe system <strong>and</strong> the case where the new plants areintroduced in the model (scenarios 2 <strong>and</strong> 5) thedecrease in system costs would be about 10 milli<strong>on</strong> €annually. The potential for decrease of theenvir<strong>on</strong>mental impact of the system is more notable. Ifbetter c<strong>on</strong>nectivity were introduced in the systemtoday, the biomass share in total fuel use would be 8%higher <strong>and</strong> c<strong>on</strong>sequently both the local emissi<strong>on</strong>s ofCO2 (LECO2) <strong>and</strong> GECO2 of the system would beabout 0.25 milli<strong>on</strong> t<strong>on</strong>s lower annually. The potential fordecrease of GECO2 of the system if better c<strong>on</strong>nectivityis introduced after the building of new CHP plants(scenarios 4 <strong>and</strong> 5) is 0.4 milli<strong>on</strong> t<strong>on</strong>s annually.Table VI. – Results for the scenarios – ec<strong>on</strong>omic aspects.Sc.AnnualsystemcostsCHP heatproducti<strong>on</strong>shareElectricityAnnualproducti<strong>on</strong>Theincomefromelectricitymilli<strong>on</strong> € % TWh Milli<strong>on</strong> €1 258 47 2.30 1222 245 47 2.31 1253 243 48 2.35 1504 204 58 2.96 1645 192 62 3.15 1766 403 4247 344 100 6.39 4828 546 2819 504 100 17.66 777As the electricity price increases, the system wouldearn extra income from the electricity sold, <strong>and</strong> thus theheat producti<strong>on</strong> cost would decrease (scenarios 1, 3).This gives an even bigger advantage to CHPgenerati<strong>on</strong> compared with pure heat producti<strong>on</strong>.291

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