The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaBIOENERGY COMBINES IN DISTRICT HEATING SYSTEMS:PROSPECTS FOR A FUTURE GROWTH INDUSTRY?E. Axelss<strong>on</strong> 1 , A. S<strong>and</strong>off 2 , C. Overl<strong>and</strong> 21 Profu, Gothenburg, Sweden.2 Department of Business Administrati<strong>on</strong>, University of Gothenburg, Sweden.ABSTRACT<strong>District</strong> heating offers opportunities for integrati<strong>on</strong> ofbioenergy producti<strong>on</strong> (e.g. of biofuel). The aim of thispaper is to assess the envir<strong>on</strong>mental benefit <strong>and</strong> theec<strong>on</strong>omic value of such integrati<strong>on</strong>, in order to evaluatethe prospect for bioenergy combines in district heatingsystems. Since the detailed characteristics of thedistrict heating system are crucial for the feasibility forintegrati<strong>on</strong> of bioenergy producti<strong>on</strong>, the assessment isbased <strong>on</strong> four real district heating systems. Theenvir<strong>on</strong>mental evaluati<strong>on</strong> shows that the decrease ingreen house gas emissi<strong>on</strong>s from a combine are inproporti<strong>on</strong> to the increase in output of CO 2 neutralenergy products. However, the CO 2 reducti<strong>on</strong> per usedquantity of biomass is higher in c<strong>on</strong>venti<strong>on</strong>al combinedheat <strong>and</strong> power producti<strong>on</strong> as l<strong>on</strong>g as marginalelectricity is related to high CO 2 emissi<strong>on</strong>s. Also theec<strong>on</strong>omic evaluati<strong>on</strong> show ambiguous results: twocases had negative net present value even for lowdiscount rates, while the two other cases showed to bemore ec<strong>on</strong>omically robust. In additi<strong>on</strong> to this, a moredetailed analysis of the industrial c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s for theintegrati<strong>on</strong> shows a need for achieving a fit regardingseveral operati<strong>on</strong>al, strategic <strong>and</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omiccircumstances for this type of business ventures. Twoimportant c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s that can be drawn from this isthat: 1) not all district heating systems are suitable forbioenergy combines 2) there are many barriers for awide spread adopti<strong>on</strong> of bioenergy combines.INTRODUCTION<strong>District</strong> heating is a technology that receives increasinginterest as it has great potentials in several ways. Oneunique characteristic of the district heating technologyis the use of low temperature energy flows for largescale energy distributi<strong>on</strong>. In c<strong>on</strong>trast to other energytransformati<strong>on</strong> technologies (e.g. c<strong>on</strong>densing power ordistributed gas heating), district heating can interactwith energy flows that otherwise do not have anyalternative use (e.g. industrial residual heat). Althoughthis is <strong>on</strong>e of the competitive advantages of thetechnology <strong>and</strong> a fundamental platform for its businessmodel, this can further enhance the scoop of thebusiness: by backward integrati<strong>on</strong> it is possible toincrease profitability in other industrial processes withwaste heat as a by-product.143One industrial branch that shows promising prospectsin this respect is bioenergy producti<strong>on</strong>, i.e. producti<strong>on</strong>of various kinds of biofuel, biogas <strong>and</strong> solid biofuel.Integrati<strong>on</strong> of bioenergy producti<strong>on</strong> to district heatingproducti<strong>on</strong> eventuates in a bioenergy combine were theresidual heat from the bioenergy producti<strong>on</strong> can beutilised for district heating. Moreover, the integrati<strong>on</strong>can, in many cases, offer additi<strong>on</strong>al positive synergies,e.g. regarding the use of steam <strong>and</strong> combustibleby-products.The fact that worldwide bioenergy producti<strong>on</strong> as well asthe number of bioenergy products offered is increasingis a result of changing dem<strong>and</strong>, which in turn offersnew business opportunities. However, <strong>on</strong>e of the greatissues with large-scale producti<strong>on</strong> of bioenergyproducts is the growing c<strong>on</strong>cern over the negativeexternalities (social <strong>and</strong> envir<strong>on</strong>mental aspects as wellas resource efficiency). Since energy producti<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong>c<strong>on</strong>sumpti<strong>on</strong> shows str<strong>on</strong>g path dependence [1], thereis an urgent need to develop <strong>and</strong> establish producti<strong>on</strong>technologies that help minimize the negativeexternalities. Utilizing the taiga <strong>and</strong> deciduous forestresources in the Northern hemisphere for this purposesis, arguably, a promising alternative. The majority ofthese natural resources exist in harvested forests,typically found in regi<strong>on</strong>s with, or suitable for, districtheating.This paper investigates the prospects of using districtheating producti<strong>on</strong> as a base for bioenergy producti<strong>on</strong><strong>and</strong> its potential to become a wide spread technology.For this purpose, we use data from four existing districtheating companies to which a bioenergy producti<strong>on</strong>unit is fitted. By acknowledging the complexity of thisintegrative business venture, it is possible to getcredible assessments of the magnitude in energyefficiency, envir<strong>on</strong>mental gains <strong>and</strong> ec<strong>on</strong>omic profits.Equally important is the possibility to detect potentiallimitati<strong>on</strong>s for bioenergy combines to become acomplement to district heating. Finally, c<strong>on</strong>clusi<strong>on</strong>s aremade to acquire clues to important restricti<strong>on</strong>s to awide spread adopti<strong>on</strong>.RESEACH DESIGNWe argue that prospects for becoming a future growthindustry are dependent <strong>on</strong> the envir<strong>on</strong>mental benefits,ec<strong>on</strong>omic attractiveness <strong>and</strong> fit with existing businessc<strong>on</strong>text. Hence, these three aspects of joint producti<strong>on</strong>
The <str<strong>on</strong>g>12th</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Internati<strong>on</strong>al</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Symposium</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>District</strong> <strong>Heating</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>Cooling</strong>,September 5 th to September 7 th , 2010, Tallinn, Est<strong>on</strong>iaare analysed. The envir<strong>on</strong>mental benefits are analyzedwith a system perspective <strong>on</strong> greenhouse gases (GHG)emissi<strong>on</strong>s, taking into account both <strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> off sitec<strong>on</strong>sequences of introducti<strong>on</strong> of an energy combine;see Envir<strong>on</strong>mental evaluati<strong>on</strong> below. Moreover, theresource efficiency in the form of CO 2 reducti<strong>on</strong> perused quantity of biomass is evaluated for eachcombine.The ec<strong>on</strong>omic benefits of the ―joint producti<strong>on</strong>‖ set upare analyzed through both a short <strong>and</strong> l<strong>on</strong>g-termcommercial lens. By using discounted cash flowtechniques as a base for this analysis, it is possible toaccount for both the yearly c<strong>on</strong>sequences as well asl<strong>on</strong>g term ec<strong>on</strong>omic value; see Ec<strong>on</strong>omic evaluati<strong>on</strong>below.Fit with existing business c<strong>on</strong>text is analysed withrespect to input/output markets, producti<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> systemc<strong>on</strong>figurati<strong>on</strong> <strong>and</strong> general business c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>sdominant in the host industry. The analysis focus <strong>on</strong>restricti<strong>on</strong>s for short term fit; see Business c<strong>on</strong>textevaluati<strong>on</strong>.Since the detailed characteristic of the district heatingsystem is paramount to the feasibility for integrati<strong>on</strong> ofbioenergy producti<strong>on</strong>, we base our investigati<strong>on</strong> <strong>on</strong> fourreal district heating systems in Sweden with differentcompositi<strong>on</strong>s. The chosen systems are all of equal size(500-600 TWh of yearly heat deliveries) established intowns with 40 000 to 80 000 inhabitants. Thesesystems are in turn equipped with a bioenergyproducti<strong>on</strong> unit that best suits ruling company strategyas well as operati<strong>on</strong>al characteristics <strong>and</strong> maximizesenergy efficiency. In order to capture the additi<strong>on</strong>alvalues of these investments, evaluati<strong>on</strong> of eachcombine c<strong>on</strong>figurati<strong>on</strong> is made in relati<strong>on</strong> to areference case c<strong>on</strong>sisting of the existing system(complemented with investments to maintain acomparable level of producti<strong>on</strong> quality). The reference<strong>and</strong> combine cases are further described in theDescripti<strong>on</strong> of the cases below.Much effort was put into indentifying efficient technicalsoluti<strong>on</strong>s that best take advantage of the site-specificc<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s in each system. This work includedeverything from choice of equipment, appropriate sizeof the integrated producti<strong>on</strong> unit <strong>and</strong> producti<strong>on</strong>strategies over the year regarding output of heat,electricity <strong>and</strong> other energy products. To identifyefficient technical soluti<strong>on</strong>s an integrative computerizedprocess was applied, including both the district heatingsimulati<strong>on</strong> software MARTES [2], <strong>and</strong> detailed spreadsheet calculati<strong>on</strong>s. In order to guarantee high qualityinput data, representatives from these four companiesgave access to technical, envir<strong>on</strong>mental as well asec<strong>on</strong>omic data.Below follows a descripti<strong>on</strong> of the envir<strong>on</strong>mental <strong>and</strong>ec<strong>on</strong>omic evaluati<strong>on</strong> procedure. It is important to stressthat the input data for these assessments <strong>on</strong>ly includethe change resulting from the integrati<strong>on</strong> of thebioenergy producti<strong>on</strong>. One implicati<strong>on</strong> of this approachis that the envir<strong>on</strong>mental benefit of the heat produced(for district heating) is not included, since <strong>on</strong>e basec<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong> is that the heat deliveries are the same with<strong>and</strong> without bioenergy producti<strong>on</strong>. Another implicati<strong>on</strong>is that producti<strong>on</strong> units in the district heating systemthat are not affected (e.g. base load <strong>and</strong> peak loadproducti<strong>on</strong> units) are not included. This systemboundary is also pervading for the Descripti<strong>on</strong> of thecases to follow.Descripti<strong>on</strong> of the casesThe four district heating systems with reference <strong>and</strong>combine cases, respectively, are presented in briefbelow. The four objects for the evaluati<strong>on</strong> are alsosummarized in Table I. A more comprehensivedescripti<strong>on</strong> can be found in ref. [3].Table I. Overview of the reference <strong>and</strong> combine cases inthe four district heating systems. Ec<strong>on</strong>omic <strong>and</strong> energydata are given for both the reference <strong>and</strong> combine case,separated with a slash (ref./combine).CONFIGURATIONHeat deliv.(TWh/y)1 2 3 4500 530 560 620Ref. inv. Bio CHP N<strong>on</strong>e Bio CHP Bio CHPCombinetechnologyPyrolysisEnzymatichydrolysisAcidhydrolysisGasificati<strong>on</strong>Products Bio oil Ethanol 1 Ethanol FTdiesel 2ECONOMIC DATA, reference/combine1 2 3 4Inv. (M€) 74/60 0/144 116/310 146/473O&M (M€/y) 2.3/2.8 0/8.8 3.6/15.8 6.1/11.1ENERGY CONSUMTION, (GWh/year), ref./combine1 2 3 4Biomass 397/244 730/1537 470/1271 362/2970Others 74/135 3 - - -ENERGY PRODUCTION (GWh/year), reference/combine1 2 3 4Electricity 125/0 218/209 145/55 99/78Biofuel 0/90 0/444 0/294 0/1336Others - - 0/384 4 -1 Besides ethanol also biogas <strong>and</strong> pellets is produced.2 Also kerosene <strong>and</strong> nafta is produced.3 Fuel oil (21/15) <strong>and</strong> industrial waste heat (53/120).4 Biogas (0/114) <strong>and</strong> Pellets (0/270)144
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