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Superconducting Technology Assessment - nitrd

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4.6 ROADMAP AND FACILITIES STRATEGY<br />

4.6.1 ROADMAP AND FACILITIES STRATEGY – ROADMAP<br />

The roadmap to an SCE IC chip manufacturing capability must be constructed to meet the following criteria:<br />

■ Earliest possible availability of IC chips for micro-architecture, CAD, and circuit design development efforts.<br />

These IC chips must be fabricated in a process sufficiently advanced to have reliable legacy to the final<br />

manufacturing process.<br />

■ Firm demonstration of yield and manufacturing technology that can support the volume and cost<br />

targets for delivery of functional chips for all superconductive IC chip types comprising a petascale system.<br />

■ Support for delivery of ancillary superconductive thin film technologies such as flip-chip bonding,<br />

MCM's, and board-level packaging for technology demonstrations.<br />

■ Availability of foundry services to the superconductive R&D community, and ultimately for other<br />

commercial applications in telecommunications, instrumentations, and other applications.<br />

From these broad criteria, a few “rules of the roadmap” can be derived. First, rapid establishment of an advanced<br />

process with minimal development is desirable. Examples of pilot and R&D level processes of this type are the NGST<br />

20 kA/cm 2 process and the NEC 10 kA/cm 2 process. However, such an early process is not expected to be sufficient<br />

to meet all the needs of a petaflops-scale system, so development and process upgrades must be planned as well.<br />

Early establishment of such a pilot process will not allow rigorous establishment of manufacturing facilities, equipment,<br />

and processes, so this must also be planned in separately. In a more relaxed scenario, establishment of a<br />

manufacturing capability could be in series with the pilot capability, but the relatively short five-year time frame<br />

contemplated does not allow this. In order to assure the most cost effective in introduction of manufacturing capability,<br />

use of the Intel “Copy Exactly” process development method should be adopted to the greatest extent possible.<br />

A second possibility is development and establishment of capability at multiple sites or sources. Unfortunately, the<br />

development of each generation of process at different sites—perhaps from different sources—does not allow<br />

implementation of any form of the Intel “Copy Exactly” philosophy and greatly increases the cost and schedule risk<br />

for the final manufacturing process.<br />

90<br />

IC chip total<br />

Wafer total<br />

Wafer starts per month<br />

Chip tests/month @ 4K<br />

TABLE 4-9. SCALING REQUIREMENTS FOR SCE IC CHIP PRODUCTION<br />

Yield = 5% 10% 20%<br />

30%<br />

737,280<br />

23,040<br />

960<br />

30,720<br />

368,640<br />

11,520<br />

480<br />

15,360<br />

184,320<br />

5,760<br />

240<br />

7,680<br />

122,880<br />

3,840<br />

160<br />

5,120

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