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Carbaryl, Carbofuran, and Methomyl - National Marine Fisheries ...

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Life History<br />

UWR Chinook salmon exhibit an earlier time of entry into the Columbia River <strong>and</strong><br />

estuary than other spring Chinook salmon ESUs (Meyers, Kope et al. 1998). Although<br />

juveniles from interior spring Chinook salmon populations reach the mainstem migration<br />

corridor as yearling, some juvenile Chinook salmon in the lower Willamette River are<br />

subyearlings (Friesen, Vile et al. 2004).<br />

Status <strong>and</strong> Trends<br />

UWR Chinook salmon were listed as threatened on March 24, 1999 (64 FR 14308), <strong>and</strong><br />

reaffirmed as threatened on June 28, 2005 (70 FR 37160). The total abundance of adult<br />

spring-run Chinook salmon (hatchery-origin + natural-origin fish) passing Willamette<br />

Falls has remained relatively steady over the past 50 years (ranging from approximately<br />

20,000 to 70,000 fish). However, it is an order of magnitude below the peak abundance<br />

levels observed in the 1920s (approximately 300,000 adults). Until recent years,<br />

interpretation of abundance levels has been confounded by a high but uncertain fraction<br />

of hatchery-produced fish.<br />

Most natural spring Chinook salmon populations is likely extirpated or nearly so. Only<br />

one remaining naturally reproducing population is identified in this ESU: the spring<br />

Chinook salmon in the McKenzie River. Unfortunately, recent short-term declines in<br />

abundance suggest that this population may not be self-sustaining (Meyers, Kope et al.<br />

1998; Good, Waples et al. 2005). Most of the natural-origin populations in this ESU<br />

have very low current abundances (less than a few hundred fish) <strong>and</strong> many largely have<br />

been replaced by hatchery production. Long- <strong>and</strong> short-term trends for population<br />

growth rate are approximately 1 or are negative, depending on the metric examined (i.e.,<br />

long-term trend [regression of log-transformed spawner abundance] or lambda [median<br />

population growth rate]). Although the population increased substantially in 2000-2003,<br />

it was probably due to increased survival in the ocean. Future survival rates in the ocean<br />

are unpredictable, <strong>and</strong> the likelihood of long-term sustainability for this population has<br />

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