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Carbaryl, Carbofuran, and Methomyl - National Marine Fisheries ...

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provide a slight beneficial effect to species abundance <strong>and</strong> have neutral or uncertain<br />

effects on species productivity, spatial structure, <strong>and</strong> diversity.<br />

The precise pre-1960 abundance of this species is unknown. However, historic run<br />

estimates for the Yakima River imply that annual species abundance may have exceeded<br />

300,000 returning adults (Busby, Wainwright et al. 1996). MCR steelhead run estimates<br />

between 1982 <strong>and</strong> 2004 were calculated by subtracting adult counts for Lower Granite<br />

<strong>and</strong> Priest Rapids Dams from those at Bonneville Dam. The five year average (geometric<br />

mean) return of natural MCR steelhead for 1997 to 2001 was up from previous years’<br />

basin estimates. Returns to the Yakima River, the Deschutes River, <strong>and</strong> sections of the<br />

John Day River system were substantially higher compared to 1992 to 1997 (Good,<br />

Waples et al. 2005). Yakima River returns are still substantially below interim target<br />

levels of 8,900 (the current five year average is 1,747 fish) <strong>and</strong> estimated historical return<br />

levels, with the majority of spawning occurring in one tributary, Satus Creek (Berg<br />

2001). The recent five year geometric mean return of the natural-origin component of the<br />

Deschutes River run exceeded interim target levels (Good, Waples et al. 2005). Recent<br />

five year geometric mean annual returns to the John Day River basin are generally below<br />

the corresponding mean returns reported in previous status reviews. However, each<br />

major production area in the John Day system has shown upward trends since the 1999<br />

return year (Good, Waples et al. 2005). The Touchet <strong>and</strong> Umatilla are below their<br />

interim abundance targets of 900 <strong>and</strong> 2,300, respectively. The five year average for these<br />

basins is 298 <strong>and</strong> 1,492 fish, respectively (Good, Waples et al. 2005).<br />

As per the FCRPS (2008), during the most recent 10-year period (for which trends in<br />

abundance could be estimated), trends were positive for approximately half of the<br />

populations <strong>and</strong> negative for the remainder. On average, when only natural production is<br />

considered, most of the MCR steelhead populations have replaced themselves. The<br />

ICBTRT characterizes the diversity risk to all but one MCR steelhead population as<br />

“low” to “moderate”. The Upper Yakima is rated as having “high” diversity risk because<br />

of introgression with resident O. mykiss <strong>and</strong> the loss of presmolt migration pathways.<br />

160

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