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Carbaryl, Carbofuran, and Methomyl - National Marine Fisheries ...

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the 1997 status review due to resampling of data using new video counting technology.<br />

The Makah <strong>Fisheries</strong> biologists estimate that previous counts of adult sockeye salmon<br />

returning to the lake were underestimates, <strong>and</strong> they have attempted to correct run-size<br />

estimates based on their assessments of human error <strong>and</strong> variations in interannual run<br />

timing (Makah <strong>Fisheries</strong> Management 2000) in (Good, Waples et al. 2005).<br />

The most recent (1996-2003) run-size estimates range from a low of 1,609 in 1997 to a<br />

high of 5,075 in 2003, averaging approximately 3,600 sockeye per year (Hard, Jones et<br />

al. 1992; Haggerty, Ritchie et al. 2007). For return years 2000 to 2003, the four-year<br />

average abundance estimate was slightly over 4,600 sockeye (Haggerty, Ritchie et al.<br />

2007). Because run-size estimates before 1998 are likely to be even more unreliable than<br />

recent counts, <strong>and</strong> new counting technology has resulted in an increase in estimated run<br />

sizes, no statistical estimation of trends is reported. The current trends in abundance are<br />

unknown for the beach spawning aggregations. Although overall abundance appears to<br />

have declined from historical levels, whether this resulted in fewer spawning<br />

aggregations, lower abundances at each aggregation, or both, is unknown (Good, Waples<br />

et al. 2005). It is estimated that between 35,500 <strong>and</strong> 121,000 spawners could be normally<br />

carried after full recovery (Hard, Jones et al. 1992).<br />

There has been no harvest of Ozette Lake sockeye salmon for the past four brood cycle<br />

years (since 1982). Prior to that time, ceremonial <strong>and</strong> subsistence harvests by the Makah<br />

Tribe were low, ranging from 0 to 84 fish per year. Harvest has not been an important<br />

mortality factor for the population in over 35 years. In addition, due to the early river<br />

entry timing of returning Ozette Lake sockeye salmon (beginning in late April, with the<br />

peak returns prior to late-May to mid-June), the fish are not intercepted in Canadian <strong>and</strong><br />

U.S. marine area fisheries directed at Fraser River sockeye salmon. There are currently<br />

no known marine area harvest impacts on Ozette Lake sockeye salmon.<br />

According to Good et al. (2005) it appears that overall abundance is low for this<br />

population, which represents an entire ESU, <strong>and</strong> may be substantially below historical<br />

levels. The number of returning adults in the last few years has increased. However, a<br />

137

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