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Carbaryl, Carbofuran, and Methomyl - National Marine Fisheries ...

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hatchery fish in naturally-spawning steelhead populations. During this review NMFS<br />

was unable to identify any natural populations that would be considered at low risk.<br />

All populations declined from 1980 to 2000, with sharp declines beginning in 1995.<br />

Historical counts in some of the larger tributaries (Cowlitz, Kalama, <strong>and</strong> S<strong>and</strong>y Rivers)<br />

suggest the population probably exceeded 20,000 fish. During the 1990s, fish abundance<br />

dropped to 1,000 to 2,000 fish. Recent abundance estimates of natural-origin spawners<br />

range from completely extirpated for some populations above impassable barriers to over<br />

700 for the Kalama <strong>and</strong> S<strong>and</strong>y winter-run populations. A number of the populations have<br />

a substantial fraction of hatchery-origin spawners in spawning areas. These populations<br />

are hypothesized to be sustained largely by hatchery production. Exceptions are the<br />

Kalama, the Toutle, <strong>and</strong> East Fork Lewis winter-run populations. These populations<br />

have relatively low recent mean abundance estimates with the largest being the Kalama<br />

(geometric mean of 728 spawners).<br />

According to Good et al. (2005), most populations are at relatively low abundance.<br />

Those with adequate data for modeling are estimated to have a relatively high extinction<br />

probability. Some populations, particularly summer run, have shown higher return in the<br />

last two to three years. Many of the long-<strong>and</strong> short-term trends in abundance of<br />

individual populations are negative, some severely so. The trend in natural spawners is<br />

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