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Carbaryl, Carbofuran, and Methomyl - National Marine Fisheries ...

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Status <strong>and</strong> Trends<br />

The OC coho salmon ESU was listed as a threatened species on February 11, 2008 (73<br />

FR 7816). The most recent NMFS status review for the OC coho salmon ESU was<br />

conducted by the BRT in 2003, which assessed data through 2002. The abundance <strong>and</strong><br />

productivity of OC coho salmon since the previous status review (Gustafson, Wainwright<br />

et al. 1997) represented some of the best <strong>and</strong> worst years on record. Yearly adult returns<br />

for this ESU were in excess of 160,000 natural spawners in 2001 <strong>and</strong> 2002, far exceeding<br />

the abundance observed for the past several decades. These encouraging increases in<br />

spawner abundance in 2000–2002 were preceded, however, by three consecutive brood<br />

years (the 1994–1996 brood years returning in 1997–1999, respectively) exhibiting<br />

recruitment failure. Recruitment failure is when a given year class of natural spawners<br />

fails to replace itself when its offspring return to the spawning grounds three years later.<br />

These three years of recruitment failure were the only such instances observed thus far in<br />

the entire 55-year abundance time series for OC coho salmon (although comprehensive<br />

population-level survey data have only been available since 1980). The encouraging<br />

2000–2002 increases in natural spawner abundance occurred in many populations in the<br />

northern portion of the ESU, which were the most depressed at the time of the last review<br />

(Gustafson, Wainwright et al. 1997). Although encouraged by the increase in spawner<br />

abundance in 2000–2002, the BRT noted that the long-term trends in ESU productivity<br />

were still negative due to the low abundances observed during the 1990s (73 FR 7816).<br />

Since the BRT convened, the total abundance of natural spawners in the OC coho salmon<br />

ESU has declined each year (i.e., 2003-2006). The abundance of total natural spawners<br />

in 2006 (111,025 spawners) was approximately 43% of the recent peak abundance in<br />

2002 (255,372 spawners). In 2003, ESU-level productivity (evaluated in terms of the<br />

number of spawning recruits resulting from spawners three years earlier) was above<br />

replacement, <strong>and</strong> in 2004, productivity was approximately at replacement level.<br />

However, productivity was below replacement in 2005 <strong>and</strong> 2006, <strong>and</strong> dropped to the<br />

lowest level since 1991 in 2006.<br />

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