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Carbaryl, Carbofuran, and Methomyl - National Marine Fisheries ...

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higher concentrations compared to the “all studies” plots. This is likely a reflection that when<br />

individual study results are considered separately, the species with the greater number of EC50<br />

study results is found at the lower end of the distribution.<br />

Table 79. <strong>Carbaryl</strong>, carbofuran, <strong>and</strong> methomyl survival EC50 concentrations at 50 th , 10 th , <strong>and</strong> 5 th<br />

percentiles from probability distribution plots.<br />

Concentration of EC50 at each percentile (μg/L)<br />

50% 10% 5%<br />

All studies probability distribution plot<br />

<strong>Carbaryl</strong> 45.23 2.29 0.98<br />

<strong>Carbofuran</strong> 58.95 0.94 0.29<br />

<strong>Methomyl</strong> 128.9 12.93 6.74<br />

Species geometric means probability distribution plot<br />

<strong>Carbaryl</strong> 69.53 4.33 1.97<br />

<strong>Carbofuran</strong> 89.95 1.22 0.37<br />

<strong>Methomyl</strong> 150.76 20.74 11.82<br />

We selected the 10 th percentile from each of the pesticide plots to represent the survival EC50 for<br />

salmonid prey. The associated 10 th percentile for carbaryl (4.33 μg/L), carbofuran (1.22 μg/L),<br />

<strong>and</strong> methomyl ( 20.74 μg/L) was used as input for the population growth model exercises. The<br />

10 th percentile is a reasonable selection because the data included in the meta-analysis were<br />

limited to concentrations that caused mortality or immobilization within a short period of time<br />

(1-4 days). A growing number of studies on a variety of insecticides have reported that<br />

concentrations well below LC50s can cause delayed mortality or sublethal effects that may scale<br />

up to affect aquatic invertebrate populations, especially in scenarios with multiple exposures<br />

<strong>and</strong>/or other stressors. Evidence for ecologically significant sublethal or delayed effects to<br />

aquatic invertebrates includes reduced growth rates (Schulz <strong>and</strong> Liess 2001; Forbes <strong>and</strong> Cold<br />

2005), altered behavior (Johnson, Jepson et al. 2008), reduced emergence (Schulz <strong>and</strong> Liess<br />

2001; Johnson, Jepson et al. 2008), reduced reproduction (Cold <strong>and</strong> Forbes 2004; Forbes <strong>and</strong><br />

Cold 2005), <strong>and</strong> reduced predator defenses (Sakamoto, Chang et al. 2006; Johnson, Jepson et al.<br />

2008).<br />

Additionally, the available toxicity data – <strong>and</strong> therefore the data included for these analyses– are<br />

from studies using taxa hearty enough to survive laboratory conditions. Studies specifically<br />

examining salmonid prey that are more difficult to rear in the laboratory have documented<br />

412

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