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Crop Diversification in the Asia-Pacific region - United Nations in ...

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o<strong>the</strong>r hand, <strong>the</strong> size of an average hold<strong>in</strong>g is smallest <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Region, and <strong>the</strong> land to man ratiohas decl<strong>in</strong>ed rapidly over <strong>the</strong> years. The per capita agricultural land available <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>-<strong>Pacific</strong> Region <strong>in</strong> 1961 was 0.35 ha, which decl<strong>in</strong>ed to 0.27 <strong>in</strong> 1988 and fur<strong>the</strong>r reduced to0.25 ha <strong>in</strong> 1997. A fur<strong>the</strong>r decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> land availability is <strong>in</strong>evitable due to urban developmentand <strong>in</strong>dustrialization <strong>in</strong> many of those countries, lead<strong>in</strong>g to unprofitable units for cropproduction.<strong>Crop</strong> production can be <strong>in</strong>creased by <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> extents of agricultural land,which as evident from <strong>the</strong> above becomes an impossible task. The o<strong>the</strong>r alternative is tobr<strong>in</strong>g additional land under cultivation by expand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to marg<strong>in</strong>al lands <strong>in</strong> differentcountries, but <strong>the</strong>se have been almost exhausted and even with heavy <strong>in</strong>vestment may rema<strong>in</strong>marg<strong>in</strong>al. Hence, of <strong>the</strong> available options, <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>tensity of cultivation and <strong>in</strong> yieldsper unit area are <strong>the</strong> only available options to meet future food needs to feed an ever<strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g population.Technologies cont<strong>in</strong>ue to be developed <strong>in</strong> various countries that will have an impacton future crop production. Most of <strong>the</strong>se technologies are directed towards <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> yielddue to less land availability. In <strong>the</strong> future, <strong>the</strong>refore, <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> food production to enhancefood and nutrition security have to be achieved through <strong>in</strong>tensive cultivation and high yieldand to a m<strong>in</strong>or extent through <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> land areas. Over 75 percent of <strong>the</strong> high yield<strong>in</strong>creases will arise from improvement of <strong>the</strong> yield of crops, with <strong>the</strong> balance from expansionof land area and cropp<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>tensities.In <strong>the</strong> future <strong>the</strong> potential for yield improvement will be through technological<strong>in</strong>novations. The potential yield <strong>in</strong>creases are likely to be greater <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countriesthan <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> developed countries. It could be argued that <strong>the</strong> yields <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> developed countrieshave reached optimum levels due to <strong>the</strong> full exploitation of <strong>the</strong> available technologies, a"technology fatigue", whereas <strong>the</strong> yields <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries are always lower than<strong>the</strong> potential yield under experimental conditions. The yield gaps, which exist <strong>in</strong> most cropsand <strong>the</strong> actual volumes at vary<strong>in</strong>g levels <strong>in</strong> different countries, po<strong>in</strong>t to <strong>the</strong> need fortechnologies which are less expensive. Estimates <strong>in</strong>dicate that <strong>the</strong> yields, obta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> lessdeveloped countries are about half to one third of those of <strong>the</strong> developed countries and evenwith<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Region wide variations are observed. Therefore, <strong>the</strong>re is much scope to <strong>in</strong>crease<strong>the</strong> yield of crops.There is a school of thought that <strong>the</strong> majority of small-scale farmers could be liftedout of poverty without <strong>the</strong> use of modern technologies such as improved seed, fertilizer andcrop protection chemicals. They believe that soil fertility could be <strong>in</strong>creased by organicmanures, farmer bred and ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong>digenous varieties, biological or mechanical controlof pests, diseases and weeds and human power to carry out farm operations. Although <strong>the</strong>low <strong>in</strong>put susta<strong>in</strong>able agriculture (LISA) is gett<strong>in</strong>g popular <strong>in</strong> some <strong>in</strong>dustrialized countriesits direct transfer to develop<strong>in</strong>g countries will have some resistance. With <strong>the</strong> presentchanges <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> labour market and global trade, it cannot be applied and may not be relevantto <strong>the</strong> <strong>Asia</strong>-<strong>Pacific</strong> Region.3. CONCEPT OF CROP DIVERSIFICATION<strong>Crop</strong> diversification can be a useful means to <strong>in</strong>crease crop output under differentsituations. <strong>Crop</strong> diversification can be approached <strong>in</strong> two ways. The ma<strong>in</strong> form and <strong>the</strong>157

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