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Crop Diversification in the Asia-Pacific region - United Nations in ...

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and also covered crops such as rice. Dur<strong>in</strong>g this period, <strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn and Eastern <strong>region</strong>sshowed remarkable improvement <strong>in</strong> agricultural growth and productivity. More or lessdur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> same period, <strong>the</strong> benefits of <strong>the</strong> new crop and irrigation technologies that wereconf<strong>in</strong>ed earlier to large and medium sized farms have also started percolat<strong>in</strong>g to <strong>the</strong> smallfarms. The third period, i.e. 1986/87 to 1996/97, is characterized by a number of policychanges <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> launch<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>the</strong> Technology Mission on Oilseeds (TMO) as well asprice support and stabilization policies for oilseed crops. Dur<strong>in</strong>g this period <strong>the</strong>re is also amarked shift <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> pattern of agricultural <strong>in</strong>vestment <strong>in</strong> favour of <strong>the</strong> private sector. Thisperiod not only covers such important policy changes as unleashed by agriculturalliberalization policies but also represents <strong>the</strong> consolidation phase of rural <strong>in</strong>frastructure.S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>se four periods can capture well <strong>the</strong> changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> set of factors that affect croppattern, <strong>the</strong>y can provide a better analytical framework for evaluat<strong>in</strong>g both <strong>the</strong> nature andtechnical context of crop pattern shifts observed not only at <strong>the</strong> national level but also at <strong>the</strong>state level.3.2.2 <strong>Crop</strong> Pattern Changes: Analysis at <strong>the</strong> all India LevelThe analysis of crop pattern changes to be attempted at <strong>the</strong> macro level (national) willfocus on three ma<strong>in</strong> aspects. These aspects are: a) <strong>the</strong> nature and direction of area shiftsacross crops and crop groups observed through time, b) <strong>the</strong> implications of <strong>the</strong>se shifts forcrop diversification and balance <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ter-crop allocation of exist<strong>in</strong>g and additional areasbrought under cultivation, and c) <strong>the</strong> output and productivity impact of crop pattern changes.Temporal Changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Area Share of <strong>Crop</strong>sThe temporal behaviour of crop pattern changes at <strong>the</strong> all India level can be seenfrom Table 2 and Table 3 that show, respectively, <strong>the</strong> area share of ma<strong>in</strong> crop groups andmajor crops for <strong>the</strong> four periods. Though obvious, it needs to be stated that <strong>the</strong> chang<strong>in</strong>garea share of crops is due as much to shift <strong>in</strong> area under o<strong>the</strong>r compet<strong>in</strong>g or alternative cropsas to <strong>the</strong> relative area allocation of fresh areas brought under cultivation. In any case, <strong>the</strong>chang<strong>in</strong>g area share of crops does capture <strong>the</strong> ongo<strong>in</strong>g changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> comparative advantagecalculus of farmers. The changes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> comparative advantage of crops reflect, <strong>in</strong> reality,<strong>the</strong> ongo<strong>in</strong>g changes <strong>in</strong> relative prices of <strong>in</strong>puts and outputs, production conditions(<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g irrigation expansion), development and spread of new crop and farm technologies,extension and <strong>in</strong>put support policies and trade policies and domestic regulations. As such,<strong>the</strong> chang<strong>in</strong>g area share of crop pattern, though look<strong>in</strong>g deceptively simple, becomes a usefultool for understand<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> direction <strong>in</strong> which crop pattern changes are <strong>in</strong>fluenced by <strong>the</strong>variations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> comparative advantage of crops and crop groups (Tables 4 and 5).Return<strong>in</strong>g to Tables 2 and 3, both tables provide evidence for a substantial area shiftfrom cereals to non-cereals. Although cereals ga<strong>in</strong>ed a marg<strong>in</strong>al <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> area share <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>first decade of <strong>the</strong> Green Revolution, <strong>the</strong>ir area and share decl<strong>in</strong>ed gradually <strong>the</strong>reafter.Between 1966/67 and 1996/97, 3.35 percent of <strong>the</strong> gross cultivated area (GCA) -represent<strong>in</strong>g approximately about 5.7 million hectares (m/ha) - has shifted from cereal cropsto non-cereal crops. S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> area share of pulses taken as a group also decl<strong>in</strong>ed by 1.57percent dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> same period, <strong>the</strong> area share of foodgra<strong>in</strong>s as a group decl<strong>in</strong>ed by 4.92percent dur<strong>in</strong>g 1966-97. In area terms, <strong>the</strong> shift from foodgra<strong>in</strong>s to non-foodgra<strong>in</strong>s <strong>in</strong>volvesan approximate area of about 8.36 m/ha. While cereals and pulses have lost area, <strong>the</strong> majorga<strong>in</strong>ers of this area shift are <strong>the</strong> non-foodgra<strong>in</strong> crops especially oilseeds. The area share ofoilseeds as a group that has gone up by 4.08 percent accounts for about 83 percent of <strong>the</strong>36

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