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Crop Diversification in the Asia-Pacific region - United Nations in ...

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lead<strong>in</strong>g to stable agricultural production. Rice, highly stable <strong>in</strong> production and rich <strong>in</strong>nutrition, has supported <strong>the</strong> large population liv<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> a limited land area, and helpedto build <strong>the</strong> world's most densely populated society <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> early 18 th century.• The small size of farm<strong>in</strong>g operations and difficulties <strong>in</strong> controll<strong>in</strong>g water use at <strong>the</strong><strong>in</strong>dividual farm level required collective control and use of water, facilitat<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>formation of farm<strong>in</strong>g communities. Community rules established to ensure smoothoperations had a considerable <strong>in</strong>fluence <strong>in</strong> foster<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> spirit of mutual aid andcreat<strong>in</strong>g and pass<strong>in</strong>g on traditional rural cultures.Agriculture <strong>in</strong> Japan has developed its own unique characteristics under <strong>the</strong>considerable <strong>in</strong>fluence of natural and socioeconomic conditions. To achieve susta<strong>in</strong>abledevelopment of agriculture and implement a crop diversification strategy, it is necessary tostudy appropriate measures tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to consideration of <strong>the</strong> above characteristics.2. CROP PRODUCTION AND ECONOMICS SCENARIOThe food self-sufficiency ratio <strong>in</strong> Japan showed sharp decreases dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> periodfrom 1965 to 1998, down from 73 to 40 percent on a calorie supply basis and 62 to 27percent on a gra<strong>in</strong> basis (Figure 1). From a long-term standpo<strong>in</strong>t, one of <strong>the</strong> major factorsbeh<strong>in</strong>d this decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g trend is a fundamental change <strong>in</strong> Japanese dietary patterns, as reflected<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g consumption of animal products and fats and oils, which are largelydependent on imported feed gra<strong>in</strong>s and oilseeds, due to <strong>the</strong> restra<strong>in</strong>ts on national land areaand ever decreas<strong>in</strong>g rice consumption (Figure 2).In recent years, both trends as mentioned above have shown a slowdown, while <strong>the</strong>domestic production of wheat and soybeans has cont<strong>in</strong>ued to decl<strong>in</strong>e. This is a key factorbeh<strong>in</strong>d <strong>the</strong> decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g self-sufficiency ratio <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> short term.As <strong>the</strong> world food supply/demand situation could be tight <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> mid- and long-term,<strong>the</strong> Japanese people are now show<strong>in</strong>g great concern over <strong>the</strong> future food supply <strong>in</strong> Japan,characterized by very low food self-sufficiency (Figure 1). France, UK and Germany haveimproved <strong>the</strong>ir self-sufficiency ratios over <strong>the</strong> last 30 years while <strong>the</strong> Japanese ratio decl<strong>in</strong>ed.The national government assumes great responsibility <strong>in</strong> assur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> availability of <strong>the</strong> foodsupply to its people. S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>re are certa<strong>in</strong> limitations on stockpil<strong>in</strong>g and import<strong>in</strong>g, it isimportant to <strong>in</strong>crease domestic agricultural production as much as possible <strong>in</strong> order to securea stable food supply.The food self-sufficiency ratio is an effective and easy to see <strong>in</strong>dicator for verify<strong>in</strong>g<strong>the</strong> extent to which domestic agricultural production could satisfy national dietaryrequirements. Thus, <strong>the</strong> aims of <strong>the</strong> Basic Plan for Food, Agriculture and Rural areas is toidentify <strong>the</strong> issues to be dealt with (by farm operators, consumers and food <strong>in</strong>dustries), and<strong>the</strong>n to set up specific targets of food self-sufficiency ratio under <strong>the</strong> new Basic Law (seelater).In <strong>the</strong> Basic Plan developed <strong>in</strong> March 2000, major target food self-sufficiency ratios(2010 as target year) were set up, namely: 45 percent on a calorie supply basis, 30 percent ona gra<strong>in</strong> basis, and 62 percent on a gra<strong>in</strong> for staple foods basis. Although it is essential thatmore than 50 percent of all calories supplied by food should be covered by domestic52

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