joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org
high increase in life expectancy for women in Hull with life expectancy increasing by
around one year or just lower between 2004-2006 and 2007-2009.
Table 78: WCC life expectancy targets in Hull
Period Life expectancy for males (years) Life expectancy for females (years)
Hull Hull England Industrial Hull Hull England Industrial
actual target
Hinterlands actual target
Hinterlands
2004-06 74.7 74.72 77.32 75.2 79.0 79.25 81.55 79.8
2005-07 74.8 75.13 77.65 75.6 79.1 79.60 81.81 80.2
2006-08 75.0 75.55 77.93 79.5 79.95 82.02
2007-09 *75.4 75.97 *80.1 80.30
2008-10 76.38 80.65
2009-11 76.80 81.00
2010-12 77.22 81.35
2011-13 77.63 81.70
2012-14 78.05 82.05
*Locally derived estimates of life expectancy which are likely to be around 0.1-0.2 years higher
than the official estimates due to be published in February/March 2011.
The rationale for selecting the life expectancy targets for Hull is as follows: local life
expectancy targets had already been calculated up to 2009-2011 by NHS Hull for
inclusion on the local authority Community Strategy (based on the PSA 2004 mentioned
above). At the time of calculating the local targets, the latest available life expectancy
data was for 2002-2004, and the rate of change needed between 2002-2004 and 2009-
2011 for England to achieve its targets was 2.68% (from 76.55 years to 78.6 years) and
1.97% (from 80.91 years to 82.5 years) for males and females respectively. The targets
for Hull included an element to reduce the gap in life expectancy, with the percentage
difference between 2002-2004 and Hull‟s local 2009-2011 target set to be around 25%
higher than England (i.e. an increase of 3.36% for males and 2.53% for females). This
equated to local targets of 76.8 years for men and 81.0 years for women. The absolute
improvement from 2002-2004 and 2009-2011 is 0.416 years for men and 0.350 years
for women. Continuing these improvements to 2012-2014 gives life expectancy targets
of 78.048 years for men and 82.050 years for women in Hull.
One of the compulsory metric outcome for WCC for year 1 was a change in the average
Index of Multiple Deprivation score, but for year 2 the outcome was been changed to
reducing the intra-area variability in life expectancy at birth. The „slope index‟ measures
the difference in life expectancy in years between the local bottom deprivation decile
(10%) and local top deprivation decile (10%).
Table 79 gives the „slope index‟ for males and females for Hull, England and the Office
for National Statistics (ONS) Industrial Hinterlands Classification (Hull has been
classified as being within this group) as well as the local targets for the „slope index‟.
The rationale for selecting the „slope index‟ targets for Hull is as follows: examining the
changes from 2001-2005 to 2003-2007 for Hull, and examining the other 15 PCTs within
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