joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org
Table 393: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull with
a long-standing condition associated with having Type 1 or Type 2 diabetes
Gender and age
(years)
Hull’s population estimates and projections of people to have
Type 1 or Type 2 diabetes
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Males 65-74 1,413 1,633 1,805 1,884 2,119
Males 75+ 959 1,067 1,175 1,418 1,593
Total males 65+ 2,371 2,699 2,980 3,301 3,712
Females 65-74 988 1,113 1,206 1,227 1,373
Females 75+ 1,113 1,124 1,145 1,304 1,431
Total females 65+ 2,101 2,236 2,351 2,531 2,804
The number of people aged 65+ years predicted to attend accident and emergency
departments as a result of a fall or predicted to be admitted as an inpatient as a result of
a fall are given in Table 394 and Table 395 respectively. The predicted numbers are
based on ONS population projections and the prevalence of having at least one fall
within the previous 12 months from the Health Survey for England 2005 (Health Survey
for England 2008) and hospital admission rates relating to falls from research
undertaken by Scuffham (Scuffham, Chaplin et al. 2003).
Table 394: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull who
are predicted to have at least one fall within a 12 month period
Gender and age
(years)
Hull’s population estimates and projections of people who are
predicted to have at least one fall within a 12 month period
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Males 65-69 828 1,134 1,062 1,188 1,350
Males 70-74 880 820 1,120 1,080 1,200
Males 75-79 665 684 665 912 874
Males 80-84 651 775 868 868 1,178
Males 85+ 645 774 1,032 1,247 1,462
Total males 3,669 4,187 4,747 5,295 6,064
Females 65-69 1,104 1,449 1,357 1,472 1,679
Females 70-74 1,269 1,188 1,539 1,458 1,593
Females 75-79 1,107 1,080 1,053 1,377 1,296
Females 80-84 1,122 1,122 1,122 1,088 1,462
Females 85+ 1,333 1,419 1,548 1,720 1,892
Total females 5,935 6,258 6,619 7,115 7,922
Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Foundation Profile – Hull Health Profile: Release 3. March 2011. 750