joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org
starting point for investigation. Practices with a low prevalence or a relatively large
difference between the model and the register estimates can be examined further and
considered in relation to patient characteristics using local knowledge. Differences
might just reflect that the model is not a very good fit for Hull. For reference, the mean
age of practice patients (Table 28) and mean deprivation scores (Table 49) for each
practice may be examined.
The results of the modelling and the actual diagnosed numbers of patients aged 18+
years with epilepsy are given in Table 309. The model does not necessarily represent
the actual number of people who should be diagnosed with epilepsy for each practice; it
is only a guide. The characteristics of each practice differ and need to be considered.
The model uses age-gender-specific prevalence estimates derived from work
undertaken which examined the prevalence of epilepsy and prescribing patterns in
primary care (Purcell, Gaitatzis et al. 2002), and the total model estimate and the total
number on the disease register is very similar.
The prevalence on the disease registers used to form the official QOF information is
extracted from the Quality Management and Analysis System (QMAS) at the end of
March. However, this information can be extracted at any time point from the local
QMAS system. Table 309 gives this information as at September 2010.
Table 309: Actual diagnosed and modelled epilepsy numbers of those aged 18+ years,
September 2010
Code Practice name List size Numbers with epilepsy
(Sept QMAS Sept Modelled Difference
2010) 2010 estimate
(actual (guide
diagnosed) only)
B81035 Dr WGT Sande & Partners 6,160 45 48 -3
B81056 Springhead Medical Centre* 13,813 99 107 -8
B81104 Dr JK Nayar 6,553 13 46 -33
B81635 Dr G Dave 2,979 18 24 -6
B81662 Mizzen Road Surgery 1,720 8 14 -6
Y01200 The Calvert Practice 1,815 10 14 -4
Y02747 Kingswood Surgery 1,380 6 10 -4
B81020 Dr PC Mitchell & Partners* 7,436 54 58 -4
B81021 Faith House Surgery 7,372 49 57 -8
B81075 Dr MK Mallik 2,197 10 19 -9
B81085 Dr JW Richardson & Ptnrs 5,302 35 43 -8
B81094 Dr AK Datta 1,790 6 14 -8
B81095 Dr Cook 4,145 19 33 -14
B81097 Dr RD Yagnik 1,689 17 14 3
B81690 Dr SK Ray 1,650 10 13 -3
B81001 Dr Ali & Partners 3,333 30 25 5
B81008 Dr JS Parker & Partners 14,936 141 113 28
B81048 Dr SM Hussain & Partners 8,915 54 67 -13
B81049 Dr VA Rawcliffe & Partners 9,221 79 70 9
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