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joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

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Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org<br />

Table 381: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull who<br />

have good or poor health who are providing unpaid care<br />

Providing<br />

care to<br />

another<br />

No<br />

Yes<br />

Health status and age (years) Hull’s population estimates and<br />

projections<br />

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030<br />

Good/fairly good health/aged 65-74 11,861 13,463 14,810 15,194 17,053<br />

Poor health/aged 65-74 3,926 4,456 4,902 5,029 5,645<br />

Good/fairly good health/aged 75-84 7,646 7,822 7,822 9,281 10,215<br />

Poor health/aged 75-84 3,651 3,735 3,735 4,432 4,878<br />

Good/fairly good health/aged 85+ 2,051 2,274 2,631 3,077 3,478<br />

Poor health/aged 85+ 1,403 1,556 1,800 2,105 2,380<br />

Good/fairly good health/aged 65-74 1,874 2,127 2,340 2,401 2,694<br />

Poor health/aged 65-74 566 642 707 725 814<br />

Good/fairly good health/aged 75-84 780 798 798 947 1,042<br />

Poor health/aged 75-84 346 354 354 420 462<br />

Good/fairly good health/aged 85+ 111 123 142 166 188<br />

Poor health/aged 85+ 51 56 65 76 86<br />

Table 382 gives the estimated and projected numbers of people unable to manage at<br />

least one domestic task on their own by age group. The tasks include household<br />

shopping, washing and drying dishes, cleaning the inside of windows, jobs involving<br />

climbing, the use a vacuum cleaner to clean floors, washing clothing by hand, opening<br />

screw tops and dealing with personal affairs. The estimated numbers unable to manage<br />

at least one domestic task are derived from the Living in Britain report from the General<br />

Household Survey 2001 (Economic and Social Data Service 2001) applied to ONS<br />

population estimates and projections. It is anticipated that the number of people in Hull<br />

who are unable to mange at least one domestic task on their own will increase by 43%<br />

to over 21,000 by 2030.<br />

Table 382: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull<br />

unable to mange at least one domestic task on their own<br />

Gender and age<br />

(years)<br />

Hull’s population estimates and projections of people unable<br />

to manage at least one domestic tasks on their own<br />

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030<br />

Males 65-69 736 1,008 944 1,056 1,200<br />

Males 70-74 924 861 1,176 1,134 1,260<br />

Males 75-79 1,260 1,296 1,260 1,728 1,656<br />

Males 80-84 861 1,025 1,148 1,148 1,558<br />

Males 85+ 1,020 1,224 1,632 1,972 2,312<br />

Females 65-69 1,344 1,764 1,652 1,792 2,044<br />

Females 70-74 1,880 1,760 2,280 2,160 2,360<br />

Females 75-79 2,132 2,080 2,028 2,652 2,496<br />

Females 80-84 2,211 2,211 2,211 2,144 2,881<br />

Females 85+ 2,542 2,706 2,952 3,280 3,608<br />

Total 14,910 15,935 17,283 19,066 21,375<br />

Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Foundation Profile – Hull Health Profile: Release 3. March 2011. 743

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