joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org
Table 391: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull with
a long-standing condition associated with having had a stroke
Gender and age
(years)
Hull’s population estimates and projections of people to have
a long-standing condition associated with a stroke
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Males 65-74 252 291 322 336 378
Males 75+ 270 300 331 399 448
Total males 65+ 522 591 653 735 826
Females 65-74 114 128 139 142 158
Females 75+ 199 201 205 234 256
Total females 65+ 314 330 344 375 415
The numbers of people predicted to have a long-standing condition as a result of having
bronchitis and emphysema are given in Table 392 for Hull residents. The prevalence
estimates used to calculate the numbers were obtained from the General Household
Survey conducted during 2007 (Economic and Social Data Service 2008). Further
information about the calculation and the numbers by gender are given at
www.poppi.org.uk. The incidence of respiratory disease will be higher in Hull given
Hull‟s higher prevalence of smoking, however, this may be counter-balanced by Hull‟s
higher mortality rate. There will be substantial numbers who have other respiratory
disease and a relatively high proportion will be aged 65 years or older. There are almost
6,000 registered patients on the chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) GP
registers for 2009/2010 in Hull (Table 297) and it is likely that a relatively high proportion
of these patients will be aged 65+ years.
Table 392: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull with
a long-standing condition associated with having bronchitis and emphysema
Gender and age
(years)
Hull’s population estimates and projections of people to have
a long-standing condition due to bronchitis and emphysema
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Males 65-74 216 250 276 288 324
Males 75+ 149 166 183 221 248
Females 65-74 95 107 116 118 132
Females 75+ 147 148 151 172 189
Total 65+ 607 671 726 799 893
The numbers of people predicted to have Type 1 or Type 2 diabetes are given in Table
393. The prevalence estimates are derived from the Health Survey for England 2006
(Health Survey for England 2008). There are almost 11,800 registered patients aged
17+ years on the diabetes GP registers for 2009/2010 in Hull (Table 272), but it is not
known how many of these patients will be aged 65+ years.
Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Foundation Profile – Hull Health Profile: Release 3. March 2011. 749