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joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

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Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org<br />

decreases of 10% in the 10 comparator PCTs, 7% among Spearhead PCTs and<br />

England as a whole, although the Yorkshire and Humber region saw an increase over<br />

this period of almost 2%. See Table 104 for the underlying data.<br />

Figure 89: Trends in 4-week quits as a percentage of quit dates set<br />

4-week quits as percentage of<br />

quit dates set<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

2006/07 2007/08 2008/09<br />

Financial year<br />

Hull Comparator PCTs Spearhead PCTs Yorkshire & Humber SHA England<br />

Table 107: Percentage change in ratio of 4-week quits to quit dates set (95% confidence<br />

intervals)<br />

Percentage change in ratio of 4-week quits to quit dates set (95%<br />

confidence intervals)<br />

Area<br />

Annual change Total change<br />

2006/07 to 2007/08 to 2008/09 to 2006/07 to<br />

2007/08 2008/09 2009/10<br />

2009/10<br />

Hull 2.3 (-3.8 to 8.9) -0.2 (-6.0 to 6.0) -5.7 (-10.3 to -0.8) -3.7 (-8.6 to 1.6)<br />

Comparator PCTs -5.0 (-6.7 to -3.1) -3.8 (-5.7 to -2.0) -1.8 (-3.6 to 0.2) -10.2 (-11.9 to -8.5)<br />

Spearhead PCTs -3.0 (-3.7 to -2.3) -1.5 (-2.2 to -0.8) -3.0 (-3.7 to -2.3) -7.3 (-8.0 to -6.7)<br />

Yorkshire & Humber 2.8 (1.2 to 4.4) -1.4 (-2.8 to 0.1) 0.3 (-1.1 to 1.8) 1.8 (0.2 to 3.3)<br />

England -3.2 (-3.6 to -2.7) -2.6 (-3.1 to -2.2) -1.7 (-2.1 to -1.2) -7.3 (-7.7 to -6.9)<br />

8.4.9 Stop Smoking Cessation Service and Predictive Modelling in Relation to<br />

Life Expectancy<br />

Predictive modelling with sensitivity analyses has been undertaken to assess the effect<br />

of increasing the smoking cessation service to achieve life expectancy targets. The life<br />

expectancy for 2003-2005 (74.3 years for men and 78.9 years for women in Hull) was<br />

examined in relation to a local target of life expectancy for 2009-2011, taking into<br />

account the local prevalence of smoking and the number of people quitting smoking at<br />

Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Foundation Profile – Hull Health Profile: Release 3. March 2011. 267

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