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joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

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Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org<br />

The updated mortality rates (involving deaths registered in 2009) are normally published<br />

on the Compendium at the end of the following year (November or December 2010), but<br />

as at February 2011, the estimates are not yet available and are due to be published<br />

later on in March 2011. Local mortality rates can be calculated using the Public Health<br />

Mortality File (PHMF) and the GP registration file. The number of deaths in the local<br />

PHMF and the official mortality statistics will be the same, but the Compendium uses<br />

ONS mid-year population estimates which differ from the estimates of the number of<br />

residents from the GP registration file. Therefore, locally calculated figures differ slightly<br />

from the official figures published in the Compendium, with mortality rates likely to be<br />

slightly lower with locally estimated figures. In the absence of the official statistics, the<br />

locally derived estimates can provide a guide. It is unlikely that the rates will differ<br />

substantially, and it is likely that the official estimate will be slightly higher due to the<br />

difference in the population estimates, therefore, it would appear that Hull has failed to<br />

achieve its target for 2007-09.<br />

Following the change in the government in May 2010, new outcomes are now under<br />

consultation (see section 3.3.6.2 on page 52). One of the outcomes proposed is the<br />

under 75 mortality rate from cancer. Therefore, it is possible that this outcome measure<br />

will be retained.<br />

Table 242: Under 75 year cancer disease mortality targets<br />

Year Under 75 year cancer mortality rate per 100,000 population<br />

Target Actual Difference<br />

1995 186.2 –4.7<br />

1996 183.2 –3.0<br />

1997 156.1 –27.1<br />

1998 172.3 16.3<br />

1999 159.2 –13.2<br />

2000 157.1 –2.1<br />

2001 154.7 –2.4<br />

2002 155.0 0.4<br />

2003 141.8 –13.2<br />

2004 154.0 12.2<br />

2005 136.9 –17.1<br />

2006 149.8 12.9<br />

2007 141.0 145.8 –4.0<br />

2008 138.5 145.7 –0.1<br />

Average –3.1<br />

2009 136.0 *142.7 –3.0<br />

2010 133.6<br />

2011 131.2<br />

*Locally derived estimates of the mortality rate which are likely to be slightly lower than the<br />

official estimates due to be published in March 2011.<br />

Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Foundation Profile – Hull Health Profile: Release 3. March 2011. 531

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