joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org
Table 377: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull of
those expected to live alone
Age and gender Hull’s population estimates and projections of people
expected to live alone
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Males 65-74 1,800 2,080 2,300 2,400 2,700
Males 75+ 2,414 2,686 2,958 3,570 4,012
Females 65-74 2,850 3,210 3,480 3,540 3,960
Females 75+ 6,405 6,466 6,588 7,503 8,235
Total 65-74 4,650 5,290 5,780 5,940 6,660
Total 75+ 8,819 9,152 9,546 11,073 12,247
Table 378 gives the numbers of people expected to live in a local authority or non-local
authority care home with or without nursing. The information is derived from the number
of people in care homes from the 2001 Census (Office for National Statistics 2009),
which have been applied to ONS population projections. Currently, it is estimated that
there are under 1,500 people aged 65+ years in local authority or non-local authority
care homes, but this is expected to increase in Hull to almost 2,300 by 2030.
Table 378: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull of
those expected to live in a local authority or non-local authority care home
Age (years) and
local authority
care home or not
Hull’s population estimates and projections of people living in
a (local authority or non-local authority) care home with or
without nursing
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
65-74 (LA) 16 18 19 20 22
75-84 (LA) 59 60 60 71 79
85+ (LA) 72 80 92 108 122
65-74 (non-LA) 175 199 219 225 252
75-84 (non-LA) 484 495 495 587 646
85+ (non-LA) 690 765 885 1,035 1,170
Total 65+ 1,495 1,616 1,771 2,046 2,291
10.13.1.6 Predicted Numbers in Relation to Caring Needs
Table 379 gives the estimated current number and projected numbers of people aged
65+ years who are expected to be providing unpaid care to a partner, family member of
other person. The information is derived from the number of people providing unpaid
care from the 2001 Census (Office for National Statistics 2009), which have been
applied to ONS population projections. It is currently estimated that around 3,700
people aged 65+ years are providing care for someone of whom over 150 are aged over
85+ years, and that this total is expected to increase to more than 5,000 by 2030.
Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Foundation Profile – Hull Health Profile: Release 3. March 2011. 741