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joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

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Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org<br />

by number of patients 75 – see section 6.9 on page 131 for more information on the<br />

IMD). Therefore, these two tables should be considered when interpreting any<br />

prevalence figures at practice level, and caution should be used when comparing<br />

practices.<br />

12.14 PBS Diabetes Model<br />

As part of Yorkshire and Humber (Y&H) Public Health Observatory (PHO) work to create<br />

a Diabetes Commissioning Toolkit, the prevalence of diabetes was estimated for all<br />

PCTs in England (Merrick 2006) in different phases. The work was undertaken in<br />

conjunction with the (Y&H) PHO, Brent PCT and School of Health and Related<br />

Research (ScHARR) and the model is referred to as the PBS model (taking the first<br />

letter of each of these organisations).<br />

For more information about the modelled and synthetic estimates, see section 12.1 on<br />

page 770.<br />

In Phase 1, the PBS model applied age-gender-ethnic group specific estimates of<br />

diagnosed and undiagnosed diabetes prevalence derived from epidemiological<br />

population studies and applied these estimates to local resident populations based on<br />

the 2001 Census. No single epidemiological study gave the age-gender specific<br />

prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes for all ethnic groups. The following UK studies<br />

were used:<br />

The White and Asian type 2 age-gender-ethnic specific prevalence rates from a<br />

Coventry study which including those with previously known and newly diagnosed<br />

(by oral glucose tolerance test) type 2 diabetes (Simmons, Williams et al. 1991;<br />

Simmons and Williams 1993).<br />

The Black type 2 age-sex-ethnic specific prevalence rates used in the PBS model<br />

were those observed in European white population in the Coventry diabetes<br />

study, multiplied by age-gender specific excess diabetes risk ratios derived from<br />

a comparison of Black African-Caribbean and European white populations in a<br />

London (Brent) study (Chaturvedi, McKeigue et al. 1993).<br />

Type 1 age-gender specific prevalence rates from a study of 418,200 people in<br />

Wales using a capture-recapture technique with the same prevalence rates<br />

applied to all ethnic groups (Harvey, Craney et al. 2002).<br />

75 The IMD 2007 score is used for each patient (based on their postcode and assigning the score relating<br />

to the lower layer super output area – geographical area containing on average 1,500 residents – which<br />

includes their postcode). The mean score for each practice is weighted by the population (i.e. number of<br />

patients with that specific IMD 2007 score).<br />

Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Foundation Profile – Hull Health Profile: Release 3. March 2011. 784

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