joint strategic needs assessment foundation profile - JSNA

Interative Hull Atlas: www.hullpublichealth.org/Pages/hull_atlas.htm More information: www.jsnaonline.org and www.hullpublichealth.org
increased deprivation relative to England from which these average prevalence figures
were derived.
Table 389: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull with
dementia
Gender and age
(years)
Hull’s population estimates and projections of people with
dementia
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Males 65-69 69 95 89 99 113
Males 70-74 136 127 174 167 186
Males 75-79 179 184 179 245 235
Males 80-84 214 255 286 286 388
Males 85+ 296 355 473 571 670
Total males 894 1,015 1,199 1,368 1,591
Females 65-69 48 63 59 64 73
Females 70-74 113 106 137 130 142
Females 75-79 267 260 254 332 312
Females 80-84 439 439 439 426 572
Females 85+ 781 832 907 1,008 1,109
Total females 1,647 1,699 1,795 1,959 2,207
Total persons 2,541 2,714 2,994 3,327 3,798
The numbers of people predicted to have a long-standing condition as a result of having
had a heart attack or stroke are given in Table 390 and Table 391 respectively for Hull
residents. The prevalence estimates used to calculate the numbers were obtained from
the General Household Survey conducted during 2007 (Economic and Social Data
Service 2008). Further information about the calculation and the numbers by gender are
given at www.poppi.org.uk. The incidence of heart attacks and stroke will be higher in
Hull due to its higher deprivation, however, this may be counter-balanced by the higher
mortality rates following heart attack or stroke.
Table 390: POPPI – population projections to 2030 for those aged 65+ years in Hull with
a long-standing condition associated with having had a heart attack
Gender and age
(years)
Hull’s population estimates and projections of people to have
a long-standing condition associated with a heart attack
2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
Males 65-74 585 676 748 780 878
Males 75+ 405 450 496 599 673
Females 65-74 247 278 302 307 343
Females 75+ 536 541 551 627 689
Total 65+ 1,772 1,945 2,096 2,313 2,582
Joint Strategic Needs Assessment Foundation Profile – Hull Health Profile: Release 3. March 2011. 748