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Theism and Explanation - Appeared-to-Blogly

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Successful Theistic <strong>Explanation</strong>s 127<br />

before the portable dark sucker can operate again. If you break open<br />

one of these fi lled canisters, one will see that there is indeed a great<br />

quantity of s<strong>to</strong>red dark on the inside. 36<br />

And so on. Intriguingly, this account of an outrageous proposed explanation—let’s<br />

call it “Dark Sucker Theory” (DST) 37 —also includes facts that,<br />

at fi rst sight, might appear <strong>to</strong> corroborate it. There are, of course, many<br />

facts that count against it. But one of these is that DST is so radically at<br />

variance with what we already know about the world. 38 This is already suffi<br />

cient reason not <strong>to</strong> take it seriously.<br />

“But DST,” you might respond, “is nothing more than an internet joke.”<br />

And that is true. So let me illustrate the importance of background knowledge<br />

with a well-known, real-life example. 39 When Darwin set out his theory<br />

of biological evolution, a major diffi culty facing his theory was that we could<br />

not directly observe the process of natural selection. So a key question was:<br />

Do we know of any mechanism of this kind <strong>to</strong> which we can appeal, which<br />

would give natural selection the status of a vera causa, a “true cause”? 40<br />

Darwin found such a mechanism in artifi cial selection, the process by which<br />

plant <strong>and</strong> animal breeders select favourable characteristics. 41 As it happens,<br />

Darwin was disappointed <strong>to</strong> see his theory rejected by the chief exponent of<br />

the vera causa doctrine, John Herschel. 42 But the point is that Darwin felt<br />

it was important <strong>to</strong> point <strong>to</strong> some mechanism, with which we were already<br />

familiar, which was analogous <strong>to</strong> the one he was positing.<br />

To say we should prefer theories that are consistent with what we already<br />

know is not <strong>to</strong> embrace the view that explanation consists of “reduction<br />

<strong>to</strong> the familiar.” 43 After all, much recent scientifi c explanation has been<br />

what we might call reduction <strong>to</strong> the unfamiliar, the principles <strong>and</strong> entities<br />

posited by both relativity theory <strong>and</strong> quantum physics being very strange<br />

indeed. 44 Rather, what I am advocating is the view that<br />

other things being equal, the explanations afforded by a theory are better<br />

explanations if the theory is familiar, that is, introduces mechanisms,<br />

entities, or concepts that are used in established explanations. The use<br />

of familiar models is not essential <strong>to</strong> explanation, but it helps. 45<br />

And if we must depart from what is familiar, we are safest <strong>to</strong> do so by way<br />

of a series of conservative steps, rather than by taking a gr<strong>and</strong> leap in<strong>to</strong> the<br />

dark. For as Quine <strong>and</strong> Ullian remark, “the longer the leap . . . the more<br />

serious an angular error in the direction.” 46<br />

7.2.1 <strong>Theism</strong> <strong>and</strong> Background Knowledge<br />

How would a theistic hypothesis rate, when assessed against this desideratum?<br />

The problem here is that the theistic hypothesis posits a mechanism—<br />

the action of a spiritual being within the material world—that is entirely<br />

unlike any other mechanism with which we are familiar. Not only does

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