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Theism and Explanation - Appeared-to-Blogly

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Against Religious <strong>Explanation</strong>s 13<br />

Methodological naturalism, as it appears in science, is based on an<br />

inductive generalization derived from 300 <strong>to</strong> 400 years of scientifi c<br />

experience. Time <strong>and</strong> time again, scientists have considered hypotheses<br />

about occult entities ranging from souls, <strong>to</strong> spirits, <strong>to</strong> occult magical<br />

powers, <strong>to</strong> astrological infl uences, <strong>to</strong> psychic powers, ESP, <strong>and</strong> so on.<br />

Time <strong>and</strong> time again such hypotheses have been rejected, not because<br />

of philosophical bias, but because when examined carefully there<br />

was not a shred of good evidence <strong>to</strong> support them. Scientists are allowed,<br />

like anyone else, <strong>to</strong> learn from experience. . . . The experience is<br />

straightforward. We keep smacking in<strong>to</strong> nature, whereas the denizens<br />

of the supernatural <strong>and</strong> paranormal realms somehow manage <strong>to</strong> elude<br />

careful analysis of data. 65<br />

Once again, this is a de fac<strong>to</strong> rather than an in principle objection. Indeed<br />

Shanks is apparently prepared <strong>to</strong> concede the possibility of what he calls<br />

“supernatural science.” 66 The explanations it offers might be prompted by<br />

faith, but they would be supported by evidence. 67 He illustrates this possibility<br />

by discussing the (largely inconclusive) “prayer trials”—clinical trials<br />

of the effi cacy of intercessory prayer in medicine—<strong>to</strong> which I myself shall<br />

make reference later (4.2.2).<br />

This de fac<strong>to</strong> objection <strong>to</strong> religious explanations is a modest position,<br />

which is not diffi cult <strong>to</strong> defend. There is no doubt that across a variety of<br />

fi elds, religious explanations have been replaced by those invoking only<br />

natural causes (7.3). But <strong>to</strong> many opponents of religious explanations, the<br />

de fac<strong>to</strong> objection seems inadequate. Applied <strong>to</strong> the debate about scientifi c<br />

naturalism, it justifi es a provisional exclusion of religious explanations from<br />

the sciences, but it cannot guarantee that this exclusion will be permanent.<br />

It cannot prevent people from offering religious explanations <strong>and</strong> insisting<br />

that we take them seriously. So some opponents of religious explanations<br />

have adopted a more uncompromising position. In John Earman’s words,<br />

they have tried <strong>to</strong> fi nd a “silver bullet” which will “put a merciful end <strong>to</strong> all<br />

the nonsense.” 68 The most promising c<strong>and</strong>idate for a silver bullet would be<br />

a demonstration that even if a proposition about divine action were true,<br />

it would fail <strong>to</strong> explain. It would fail <strong>to</strong> meet some condition that must be<br />

met by any successful explanation. I shall refer <strong>to</strong> this as the in principle<br />

objection <strong>to</strong> religious explanations.<br />

1.3.2 An In Principle Objection<br />

We fi nd hints of an in principle objection <strong>to</strong> religious explanations in the<br />

published work of Charles Darwin. At one point in the Origin of Species,<br />

for instance, Darwin suggests that <strong>to</strong> appeal <strong>to</strong> a divine plan—<strong>to</strong> what<br />

<strong>to</strong>day would be called “intelligent design”—does not in fact explain anything.<br />

In speaking of “the plan of creation,” we may think we are giving an

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