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KIRK KAZANJIAN<br />
An investment Davis made in a tiny <strong>com</strong>pany in the 1970s further<br />
drove home the lesson about what unforeseen liability can do to a<br />
business, especially in the insurance industry. “I purchased this relatively<br />
new issue of a small regional property and casualty insurer,”<br />
he reveals. “Arthur Andersen and Price Waterhouse had audited the<br />
books. The stock came out on Veterans’ Day for $6 a share. I remember<br />
this, because the bank was closed but I came in to work just so I could<br />
go to lunch and hear management talk. My impression was that it<br />
was a pretty low quality <strong>com</strong>pany, but it was a new issue that was<br />
cheap on reported earnings, so I thought why not take a chance and<br />
buy it. Boy, did I learn a lesson! Everything was fine at first, and the<br />
stock made new highs by February. Within three months, it had<br />
jumped almost 30 percent and was trading at $8. I felt pretty good.<br />
Then an item came across the Dow Jones news wire. It read: ‘Security<br />
America of Chicago, or whatever this thing was called, has announced<br />
that trading in the stock has been suspended.’ The <strong>com</strong>pany had uncovered<br />
some reserve deficiencies from a discontinued line of business<br />
that wiped out its equity. Trading in the stock never resumed and the<br />
<strong>com</strong>pany eventually declared bankruptcy. So this stock went from<br />
hitting a new high to bankruptcy almost instantly. That’s the ultimate<br />
risk with an insurance <strong>com</strong>pany.”<br />
There’s a modern-day sequel to this story. In the 1960s, Chubb acquired<br />
California insurer Pacific Indemnity, which had written a<br />
general liability policy for Fiberboard. “It wrote the policy for only<br />
two years in the 1950s, but Fiberboard had an asbestos plant,” Davis<br />
notes. “Remember, Chubb didn’t even write this. It was Pacific Indemnity.<br />
I think they collected all of $30,000 in premiums for it. Then<br />
Fiberboard got sued, and between Chubb and CNA, they have paid<br />
out some $1 billion in damages during the 1990s. All of this for a<br />
$30,000 premium on a policy that had been discontinued for more<br />
than 35 years. Yet Chubb was still found liable and had to pay the<br />
claim. The difference between the first example and the second is that<br />
Chubb had a conservative balance sheet. The <strong>com</strong>pany had grown<br />
dramatically and successfully and was able to pay that claim without<br />
really missing a heartbeat.”<br />
SAFETY IN NUMBERS<br />
Even getting to know management couldn’t have alerted you to<br />
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