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Growing Rich - Arabictrader.com

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KIRK KAZANJIAN<br />

It was like buying a house. You finance 85 percent of your purchase.<br />

The difference is you can’t strip a house down, whereas you can strip<br />

a <strong>com</strong>pany and sell off assets, shrink the asset base, and maybe build<br />

the earnings, especially by turning around or selling loser divisions.”<br />

Davis specifically points to the Dow Jones Company as a good<br />

modern-day example of this. Although he didn’t own the stock as<br />

this book went to press, he was closely monitoring the <strong>com</strong>pany’s<br />

progress. “It has a wonderful product in The Wall Street Journal,” he<br />

insists. “Nobody in the investment business can deny their need to<br />

read that paper. Its circulation has been growing for decades. The<br />

<strong>com</strong>pany’s other products, such as Barron’s and Smart Money<br />

magazine, are also doing well. Where Dow Jones is losing money is<br />

in the electronic news business. It announced plans to spend $650<br />

million over a three-year period on the old Telerate, an electronic<br />

pricing and information bank. That thing isn’t making any money.<br />

Who knows if it can <strong>com</strong>pete with Bloomberg and Reuters? Maybe<br />

it can. But it’s a real gamble. I would rather see the <strong>com</strong>pany close<br />

that thing down or sell it and focus on its core business. The <strong>com</strong>pany<br />

could buy back a lot of stock once earnings go up. That move, in my<br />

opinion, would definitely make the price of the stock increase.”<br />

UNCOVERING VALUE<br />

While some value-oriented investors pay close attention to a stock’s<br />

book value, Davis argues that number is virtually meaningless to him.<br />

“Unless you’re planning to liquidate the <strong>com</strong>pany, you really want<br />

to look at earnings power,” he insists. “My basic thrust is to look at<br />

the growth of earnings power, not by quarter or even year-to-year,<br />

but whether average earnings three years from now will be higher<br />

than they are now.”<br />

In order to make that determination, you must rely in part on your<br />

own intuition. The rest is raw math. “In insurance <strong>com</strong>panies, which<br />

are my specialty, if you believe underwriting can be at a breakeven,<br />

and assuming you have more cash every year to reinvest and are receiving<br />

dividends on what you’ve already invested, you’ll constantly<br />

have a new stream of cash <strong>com</strong>ing in,” Davis offers. “So, in a sense,<br />

the earnings power of an insurance <strong>com</strong>pany is the investment in<strong>com</strong>e<br />

per share after taxes. Investment in<strong>com</strong>e per share is like a <strong>com</strong>pounding<br />

machine. It frankly has not been as good lately as when my<br />

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