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KIRK KAZANJIAN<br />
He wrote four books during those early years, including America<br />
Faces the Forties, which detailed his predictions about what lay ahead<br />
politically and economically for the United States. Among those who<br />
read the book was Thomas E. Dewey, then governor of New York.<br />
Dewey was thinking of running for president of the United States at<br />
the time and hired Davis to be his speech writer and quasi-economist,<br />
since Davis had so many ideas about what was going to happen over<br />
the next decade.<br />
GOVERNMENT SERVICE<br />
Dewey staged two aggressive campaigns but never made it to the<br />
White House, losing to Franklin Roosevelt in 1944 and unexpectedly<br />
to Harry Truman in 1948. When Davis returned from serving on the<br />
War Production Board during World War II, he was appointed by<br />
Dewey as Deputy Insurance Commissioner for the State of New York.<br />
Before taking this job, Davis worked for a short time at a Philadelphia<br />
brokerage firm, so he knew a little about stocks. He also had a shrewd<br />
mind for finance. As Insurance Commissioner, he began to notice<br />
that insurance stocks in the late 1940s were selling for extremely low<br />
multiples. Eventually, he quit his government job and bought control<br />
of a small New York brokerage firm. He renamed it Shelby Cullom<br />
Davis and Company. Davis started with $100,000. Some was his own<br />
money, the rest he borrowed from his wife. This was a tidy sum for<br />
that time. He opened his doors in 1947, right when insurance stocks<br />
began a decade-long run as the darlings of Wall Street. They were<br />
like the biotech or Internet stocks of the 1990s.<br />
INSURANCE EXPLOSION<br />
Between 1949 and 1956, the great life insurance <strong>com</strong>panies benefited<br />
from rising interest rates and a burgeoning new market created<br />
by soldiers <strong>com</strong>ing back from war and starting families. The first<br />
thing you worried about after having children in those days was life<br />
insurance. With their growing offspring, the GIs became easy targets<br />
for life insurance salesmen. Stocks such as Lincoln National Life and<br />
Franklin Life experienced tremendous growth.<br />
The media further helped to fuel this interest. An article in the July<br />
1948 issue of Kiplinger’s Magazine - The Changing Times was head-<br />
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