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KIRK KAZANJIAN<br />
LOOKING FROM THE TOP DOWN<br />
Before Elizabeth Bramwell considers buying a specific stock, she<br />
takes a broad look at both the world and the economy. It’s what’s<br />
called a “top-down” approach. In other words, she wants to find out<br />
the direction of inflation and interest rates, along with the shape of<br />
the global political landscape and how the U.S. dollar stacks up against<br />
foreign currencies.<br />
From there, she <strong>com</strong>es up with a list of themes that are likely to<br />
do well in the future. For example, Bramwell expects technology to<br />
lead the way for growth in the twenty-first century. Specifically, she<br />
is attracted to <strong>com</strong>panies that use technology well to gain a <strong>com</strong>petitive<br />
advantage. “Technology accounts for about half of all U.S. capital<br />
spending,” she says. “The ability to use technology effectively<br />
allows you to increase both your revenues and productivity. The<br />
bigger you are, the more you can use technology to achieve economies<br />
of scale.” Using these themes, she looks for individual <strong>com</strong>panies that<br />
will prosper if her hypotheses are correct. Specifically, she searches<br />
for leaders in their respective industries that can be bought at a<br />
reasonable price. “I’m looking for individual stocks,” she adds. “I don’t<br />
try to run my portfolio on a sector basis. If I have a lot of stocks in<br />
any one area, it’s because that’s where I think the opportunities are.”<br />
Bramwell gathers ideas from many sources, including personal and<br />
anecdotal observation, the general press, and the brokerage <strong>com</strong>munity.<br />
She also reads various research reports, goes through several<br />
daily newspapers, and scrounges through the mounds of information<br />
that arrive in her office each day. Is it good information? Not always.<br />
That’s why Bramwell must rely on sound judgment and her own diligent<br />
research before making any buy or sell decision.<br />
GET THE EARLY EDGE<br />
Whether you manage millions of dollars, like the experts in this<br />
book, or a small personal portfolio worth much less, the way you<br />
make big gains in growth stocks is by being the first to recognize and<br />
understand a new theme. In other words, you want to buy shares in<br />
the next Microsoft or Wal-Mart before it gets “discovered” by the rest<br />
of Wall Street. That’s because if you’re in early, and hold for the long<br />
haul, you’ll get to sit back and watch the value of your shares grow<br />
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