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GROWING RICH WITH GROWTH STOCKS<br />
first century, I believe it’s going back over to China. I think we better<br />
accept that fact and learn from it. The only threat we have in this<br />
country over the next 15 to 25 years is getting along with China.”<br />
Papp has even started a mutual fund that invests solely in U.S. multinationals<br />
that get a large part of their overseas earnings from the<br />
Pacific Rim.<br />
“I believe the <strong>com</strong>puter, new tele<strong>com</strong>munications, fax machines,<br />
and other to-be-announced improvements in technology will cause<br />
dramatic population shifts and changes in industry that few people<br />
appreciate today,” Papp predicts. “I expect the size of many of our<br />
big cities to decline, more people to work at home, and more firms<br />
to have two or three people share an office as many accounting firms<br />
are doing today. These innovations will allow people to avoid crowded<br />
cities, pollution, high-tax states, and high-crime areas. As we rush<br />
into the post-industrial, or informational society, we will begin to<br />
realize that the electronic and medical-technology industries are more<br />
important in today’s worlds than the railroads or electricity were to<br />
their ages.”<br />
TECHNOLOGY INVESTING FOR NERVOUS NELLIES<br />
Don Yacktman is a little more nervous about investing in technology.<br />
You won’t find many high-tech names in his portfolio, if any.<br />
The reason: He believes the potential risks in this area are greater<br />
than the rewards. “There are two main problems with technology<br />
<strong>com</strong>panies that normally keep me out of them,” he argues. “One is<br />
pricing. Most of the time, they are overpriced. I’m looking for stocks<br />
priced below their private-market value. Technology stocks customarily<br />
sell at a high premium to actual value based on optimistic investor<br />
expectations.” While some contend that technology stocks should be<br />
valued differently because of their strong growth prospects, Yacktman<br />
disagrees, especially since there’s no assurance this upward rise will<br />
continue into the next quarter, let alone next year. Another reason<br />
for Yacktman’s wariness of technology stocks is that many of these<br />
businesses are early-stage capital goods providers. “In the early stages,<br />
when they’re making money, the stocks are extremely expensive,” he<br />
insists. “When they <strong>com</strong>e down in price, they start to look more like<br />
cyclical businesses. By then, the return on assets has dropped to a<br />
level where you wouldn’t want to own them anyway. In either case,<br />
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