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KIRK KAZANJIAN<br />
steel, and cement <strong>com</strong>panies.’ You see, if you have all those research<br />
people, you have to expect that they will push you to buy their stocks.<br />
Otherwise they don’t have anything to do. Therefore, you get forced<br />
into purchasing things you’re not attracted to. I contend that you<br />
don’t want too many researchers on staff. That’s one of the troubles<br />
with Wall Street research, and why I don’t use it. I think Stein Roe<br />
did a good job, particularly in the environment they lived in, but the<br />
environment changed so much. I think they were looking for some<br />
magic elixir that would work at all times. Hickey started pouring<br />
$250,000 a year into <strong>com</strong>puter research. By the time I left, they were<br />
using <strong>com</strong>puters to play the momentum game. It was a disaster. It<br />
just doesn’t work because in this industry, making an evaluation on<br />
the future value of a <strong>com</strong>pany is inherently impossible to do using<br />
science. As long as people are making the final judgments, emotions<br />
will always interfere. You either have a sixth sense or you don’t.<br />
That’s why you must be willing to change when conditions change.<br />
A machine can’t do that.”<br />
MANILA BOUND<br />
By 1975, the young stockbroker Papp helped get elected to Congress<br />
had moved up the political ranks and be<strong>com</strong>e President Gerald Ford’s<br />
chief of staff. Don Rumsfeld was charged with filling a vacancy on<br />
the Asian Development Bank board and felt Papp would be perfect<br />
for the job. “The Asian Development Bank is almost a carbon copy<br />
of the World Bank, except it’s in Manila,” Papp explains. “It loans<br />
money to foreign governments to help them out with specific projects.<br />
There were 43 member countries at the time, with approximately 300<br />
professionals working at the Bank. It made 15-year loans at rates in<br />
the range of 1 or 2 percent, well below the market. This was at a time<br />
when inflation was around 7 percent. I talked to my wife about the<br />
opening and she said, ‘Let’s do it.’ So we sold our house and I resigned<br />
from Stein Roe.”<br />
This all took place shortly after Nixon’s resignation. The White<br />
House was super-sensitive about potential scandals and conflicts of<br />
interest. “So in order to be appointed to the post, I had to agree I<br />
would take no profits out of Stein Roe when I left,” Papp reveals. “I<br />
had put in $20,000 of equity as a partner. When I left, I took out<br />
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