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Growing Rich - Arabictrader.com

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KIRK KAZANJIAN<br />

steel, and cement <strong>com</strong>panies.’ You see, if you have all those research<br />

people, you have to expect that they will push you to buy their stocks.<br />

Otherwise they don’t have anything to do. Therefore, you get forced<br />

into purchasing things you’re not attracted to. I contend that you<br />

don’t want too many researchers on staff. That’s one of the troubles<br />

with Wall Street research, and why I don’t use it. I think Stein Roe<br />

did a good job, particularly in the environment they lived in, but the<br />

environment changed so much. I think they were looking for some<br />

magic elixir that would work at all times. Hickey started pouring<br />

$250,000 a year into <strong>com</strong>puter research. By the time I left, they were<br />

using <strong>com</strong>puters to play the momentum game. It was a disaster. It<br />

just doesn’t work because in this industry, making an evaluation on<br />

the future value of a <strong>com</strong>pany is inherently impossible to do using<br />

science. As long as people are making the final judgments, emotions<br />

will always interfere. You either have a sixth sense or you don’t.<br />

That’s why you must be willing to change when conditions change.<br />

A machine can’t do that.”<br />

MANILA BOUND<br />

By 1975, the young stockbroker Papp helped get elected to Congress<br />

had moved up the political ranks and be<strong>com</strong>e President Gerald Ford’s<br />

chief of staff. Don Rumsfeld was charged with filling a vacancy on<br />

the Asian Development Bank board and felt Papp would be perfect<br />

for the job. “The Asian Development Bank is almost a carbon copy<br />

of the World Bank, except it’s in Manila,” Papp explains. “It loans<br />

money to foreign governments to help them out with specific projects.<br />

There were 43 member countries at the time, with approximately 300<br />

professionals working at the Bank. It made 15-year loans at rates in<br />

the range of 1 or 2 percent, well below the market. This was at a time<br />

when inflation was around 7 percent. I talked to my wife about the<br />

opening and she said, ‘Let’s do it.’ So we sold our house and I resigned<br />

from Stein Roe.”<br />

This all took place shortly after Nixon’s resignation. The White<br />

House was super-sensitive about potential scandals and conflicts of<br />

interest. “So in order to be appointed to the post, I had to agree I<br />

would take no profits out of Stein Roe when I left,” Papp reveals. “I<br />

had put in $20,000 of equity as a partner. When I left, I took out<br />

176

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