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Observational epidemiological surveys (WG 3) page 47<br />

_________________________________________________________________________________________<br />

this tomato sauce-linked vitamin E intake might not be recorded in most studies, and lycopene<br />

might be a marker of this intake. Another confounding factor might be fructose, concentrated<br />

by cooking, and recently proposed as part of a protective mechanism for prostate cancer, via<br />

vitamin D and phosphates (Giovanucci et al., 1999). Current results of epidemiological<br />

studies cannot solve this problem.<br />

Part 2: Tomatoes and tomato products, lycopene, other<br />

carotenoids, vitamins C and E and CVD<br />

2-1 Fruit and Vegetables, Tomatoes<br />

The studies on fruit and vegetables intake and relative risk of cardiovascular disease have<br />

been comprehensively reviewed by Ness and Powles (1997) and Law and Morris (1998). The<br />

review by Ness and Powles summarized the data from 1966 until 1995. All studies (i.e.<br />

ecological, case-control, cohort with either fruit and vegetables consumption or proxy<br />

nutrients) were recorded and no attempt was made to evaluate the data critically. Ness and<br />

Powles concluded that all the data are consistent with a strong protective effect against stroke<br />

and a weaker protective effect against coronary heart disease. Concerning the studies of<br />

dietary intake, only one included tomato (Gaziano et al, 1995). In this study, significant<br />

correlations were obtained for carrots/squash and salads/green vegetables, but no correlation<br />

was obtained for tomatoes. The subsequent review of Law and Morris (1998) made a more<br />

critical analysis with the objective of quantifying the relationship between fruit and vegetable<br />

consumption and the incidence of ischaemic heart disease (including coronary heart disease,<br />

myocardial ischaemic and myocardial infarction). The main outcome measures were risk of<br />

ischaemic heart disease at the 90 th centile of consumption and at the 10 th . Their conclusion<br />

was that the risk of ischaemic heart disease is about 15% lower at the 90 th than the 10 th centile<br />

of fruit and vegetables consumption, which is equivalent to about a four-fold difference in<br />

fruit consumption and a doubling of vegetables consumption. However, there was no clear<br />

correlation with the antioxidant components of fruit and vegetables. Our analysis took into<br />

account both of these reviews and a summary of the most relevant studies is given in table 27.<br />

Among the studies on fruit and vegetables, none mentioned tomatoes. There are no<br />

randomized, intervention studies either for fruit and vegetables or for tomatoes. No case-<br />

control studies were found with subjects free from disease. However, two small case studies<br />

involve relatively small numbers (287 women in the Italian study by Gramenzi et al., 1990

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