kavkasiis geografiuli garemo da mosaxleoba - Center for Social ...
kavkasiis geografiuli garemo da mosaxleoba - Center for Social ...
kavkasiis geografiuli garemo da mosaxleoba - Center for Social ...
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istoria mowmobs, rom integraciuli miswrafebebi kavkasiaSi, Tavisi arsiT,<br />
yovelTvis antirusul xasiaTs atareb<strong>da</strong>. amitom moskovi msgavsi miswrafebebis<br />
aRkveTiT iyo <strong>da</strong>interesebuli. magram, misi mxri<strong>da</strong>n, am procesebis ignorireba<br />
CeCneTis liderebisaTvis iniciativis <strong>da</strong>Tmobis tolfasi iqnebo<strong>da</strong>. 1992 wlis Semdeg<br />
moskovma konfederacia saqarTvelos winaaRmdeg gamoiyena <strong>da</strong> <strong>da</strong>xmarebac ki gauwia mas<br />
Tav<strong>da</strong>cvis sistemos SeqmnaSi. magram am sistemos mudmiv Zalad Camoyalibeba ar<br />
moxerx<strong>da</strong> <strong>da</strong> male ideac <strong>da</strong>viwyebas mieca.<br />
niSandoblivia, rom im periodis ruseTis centraluri sain<strong>for</strong>macio saSualebani<br />
saqmes ise warmoaCendnen, TiTqos saubari iyo realurad arsebul warmonaqmnze Tavisi<br />
parlamentiT, prezidentiTa <strong>da</strong> SeiaraRebuli ZalebiTa <strong>da</strong> saxelmwifoebriobis sxva<br />
atributebiT. yuradReba ar eqceo<strong>da</strong> imas, rom es iyo ara regionis xalxis mkafiod<br />
deklarirebuli neba, aramed CrdiloeT <strong>kavkasiis</strong> inteligenciis calkeuli jgufebis<br />
mcdeloba, Camoeyalibebina <strong>da</strong> ganexorcielebina saxelmwifo mowyobis raRac proeqti,<br />
romelic mowyvetili iyo realobas. maT ar gaaCn<strong>da</strong>T araviTari legitimuroba, raime<br />
oficialuri man<strong>da</strong>ti, miRebuli arCevnebis gziT. niSandoblivia, rom konfederaciaze<br />
ufro mets wer<strong>da</strong> centraluri presa, vidre CrdiloeT <strong>kavkasiis</strong> respublikebisa.<br />
Sesabamisi periodis <strong>da</strong>Restnis sxva<strong>da</strong>sxva mimarTulebis gazeTebSi TiTqmis ar<br />
gvxvdeba masalebi, romlebic konfederaciis Temas exeba. a<strong>da</strong>mianTa umravlesobas an<br />
saerTod araferi smeno<strong>da</strong> konfederaciaze, an friad bundovani warmodgena hqon<strong>da</strong><br />
masze. xolo im 5-10%-is <strong>da</strong>mokidebuleba, romelmac ico<strong>da</strong> konfederaciis miznebi <strong>da</strong><br />
amocanebi, meryeob<strong>da</strong> aSkara negatiuri<strong>da</strong>n aRfrTovanebamde 122 .<br />
konfederaciasTan <strong>da</strong>kavSirebuli in<strong>for</strong>macia wina planze gamodio<strong>da</strong> maSinve,<br />
rogorc ki regionSi krizisuli situacia iqmnebo<strong>da</strong>. konfederaciis Sansebi izrdebo<strong>da</strong><br />
qveyanaSi arastabilurobis zr<strong>da</strong>sTan erTad <strong>da</strong> piriqiT. amaze metyvelebs<br />
konfederaciis popularobis zr<strong>da</strong> ruseTis prezidentis mier CeCneTSi sagangebo<br />
mdgomareobis SemoRebis Sesaxeb brZanebis gamocemasTan <strong>da</strong>kavSirebiT, agreTve,<br />
qarTul-afxazuri konfliqtis dros.<br />
dReisaTvis cnobili ar aris CrdiloeT <strong>kavkasiis</strong> respublikebis warmomadgenlobiTi<br />
an aRmasrulebeli organoebis raime SeTanxmeba, an ga<strong>da</strong>wyvetileba konfederaciis<br />
Seqmnis Taobaze, an raime referendumis an sxva aqciis Sesaxeb, rac SeiZlebo<strong>da</strong><br />
gamx<strong>da</strong>riyo konfederaciis legitimuri safuZveli. amas TviTon konfederaciis<br />
organizatorebic aRniSnavdnen. isini xazs usvamdnen, rom miznad isaxavdnen mTis<br />
xalxTa konsoli<strong>da</strong>cias, xolo <strong>da</strong>moukidebeli Crdilokavkasiuri saxelmwifos Seqmna,<br />
romelic Sedgebo<strong>da</strong> erovnul-saxelmwifoebrivi warmonaqmnebisagan <strong>da</strong> <strong>da</strong>moukidebeli<br />
iqnebo<strong>da</strong> ruseTisagan, ganixilebo<strong>da</strong> rogorc perspeqtiuli, <strong>da</strong>axloebiT 10-15, an 20-30<br />
welze gaTvlili mizani 123 .<br />
konfederaciis umTavresi mizani — <strong>da</strong>vebis mSvidobiani ga<strong>da</strong>wyvetis <strong>for</strong>umad<br />
Camoyalibeba — ganuxorcielebeli gax<strong>da</strong>. mis rigebSi yvela kavkasieli xalxis<br />
gaerTianeba ver moxerx<strong>da</strong>. gaCn<strong>da</strong> uTanxmoeba adiReuri warmoSobis xalxebsa <strong>da</strong><br />
konfederaciis <strong>da</strong>narCen wevrebs Soris, romlebic organizaciasi pirvelTa wamyvan<br />
rols eWvis TvaliT uyurebdenen. yaraCaelebma <strong>da</strong> balyarelebma, yumuxebTan <strong>da</strong><br />
noRaelebTan erTad, Turqulenovani xalxebis asamblea Seqmnes, romelsac mxars<br />
uWerdnen CeCneTi <strong>da</strong> azerbaijani.<br />
am organizaciis moRvaweobis Sedegi ki is gaxl<strong>da</strong>T, rom yovelgvar safuZvels<br />
moklebulma am ususurma warmonaqmnma mainc moaxerxa kavkasiur konfliqtebSi<br />
uaryofiTi rolis Sesruleba. Crdilo-<strong>da</strong>savleT kavkasiaSi man `saerTo-adiReuri~<br />
122<br />
Гаджиев К.С. Геополитика Кавказа. М., 2001, с.81.<br />
123<br />
iqve, gv.85.<br />
54
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