gambling in alberta - Research Services - University of Lethbridge
gambling in alberta - Research Services - University of Lethbridge
gambling in alberta - Research Services - University of Lethbridge
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
versus 2.2%). Commercial <strong>in</strong>solvency rates tended to decrease subsequent to cas<strong>in</strong>o<br />
<strong>in</strong>troduction (1.0 per 1000 bus<strong>in</strong>esses), but the decrease was actually larger <strong>in</strong> control periods<br />
(1.6 per 1000 bus<strong>in</strong>esses). While some <strong>of</strong> these trends are suggestive, it is important to<br />
remember that a) these differences were not statistically significant, and b) even if these<br />
trends were ‘real’, it is quite possible that cas<strong>in</strong>o <strong>in</strong>troduction is timed to co<strong>in</strong>cide with periods<br />
<strong>of</strong> better economic growth (someth<strong>in</strong>g the comparison periods are unable to control for).<br />
Impacts on Other Forms <strong>of</strong> Gambl<strong>in</strong>g<br />
The last private sector impact exam<strong>in</strong>ed was impact on other <strong>gambl<strong>in</strong>g</strong> forms. It is a common<br />
belief that new forms <strong>of</strong> <strong>gambl<strong>in</strong>g</strong> negatively impact older forms <strong>of</strong> <strong>gambl<strong>in</strong>g</strong>. This belief is<br />
largely based on an observation <strong>of</strong> decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g participation and revenue <strong>in</strong> certa<strong>in</strong> older forms<br />
(i.e., horse rac<strong>in</strong>g, b<strong>in</strong>go) co<strong>in</strong>cident with <strong>in</strong>creased participation and revenue with new forms<br />
(i.e., lotteries, <strong>in</strong>stant w<strong>in</strong>, sports bett<strong>in</strong>g, EGMs, cas<strong>in</strong>os). While there is almost certa<strong>in</strong>ly some<br />
truth to this belief, it is important to recognize that there is very little empirical pro<strong>of</strong> <strong>of</strong> this,<br />
and there are some th<strong>in</strong>gs that argue aga<strong>in</strong>st it. For one, horse rac<strong>in</strong>g began its decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong><br />
Alberta <strong>in</strong> the early 1980s, many years before the <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> sports bett<strong>in</strong>g, VLTs, slot<br />
mach<strong>in</strong>es, and most cas<strong>in</strong>os, many years after the <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> lotteries, and years before<br />
cas<strong>in</strong>os with table games generated significant revenue competition. It is true that b<strong>in</strong>go’s<br />
decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> the late 1990s was more co<strong>in</strong>cident with a significant expansion <strong>of</strong> cas<strong>in</strong>o and EGM<br />
type <strong>gambl<strong>in</strong>g</strong> and a significant <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the revenue <strong>of</strong> the latter. However, it is important<br />
to note that b<strong>in</strong>go and horse rac<strong>in</strong>g have also decl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> jurisdictions that do not have these<br />
newer forms <strong>of</strong> <strong>gambl<strong>in</strong>g</strong>. It is also worth not<strong>in</strong>g that raffles, one <strong>of</strong> the oldest forms <strong>of</strong><br />
<strong>gambl<strong>in</strong>g</strong>, have <strong>in</strong>creased <strong>in</strong> terms <strong>of</strong> per capita licences as well as per capita revenue from the<br />
early 1980s to the present time. Lottery product revenue has also been stable for quite some<br />
time despite the <strong>in</strong>troduction and subsequent expansion <strong>in</strong> cas<strong>in</strong>o and EGM revenue. F<strong>in</strong>ally,<br />
the fact that per capita <strong>gambl<strong>in</strong>g</strong> expenditure has <strong>in</strong>creased by a magnitude <strong>of</strong> 5 s<strong>in</strong>ce the early<br />
1980s (<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>flation-adjusted dollars) argues aga<strong>in</strong>st the notion that people have a fixed amount<br />
to spend and are opt<strong>in</strong>g to f<strong>in</strong>ance expenditures on new forms by us<strong>in</strong>g the money they would<br />
have spent on older forms.<br />
207