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Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...

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study has been maded to explore potential effects of UVBR increase in shallow<br />

lagoons. In marine algae, phanerogams <strong>and</strong> phytoplankton, photosyntehsis can be<br />

inhibited by UVBR (Smith et al., 1992). Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, UVBR enhances phytoplankton<br />

<strong>and</strong> bacterial mortality particularly in <strong>the</strong> top 5 m of <strong>the</strong> water column, where <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

little attenuation (Boelen et al., 2002).<br />

It has been also demonstrated that enhanced UVBR can change <strong>the</strong> structure <strong>and</strong><br />

dynamics of <strong>the</strong> pelagic food web (Mostjir et al., 1999). As a consequence, <strong>the</strong><br />

ecosystem develops toward a microbial food web (smaller organisms, less<br />

productive) in preference to an herbivorous food web (larger organisms, much more<br />

productive). This food web change can have broad implications for aquaculture in<br />

lagoons.<br />

IV.D.4. Expected long-term effects related to climate changes that are superimposed<br />

on direct human alterations<br />

Human activities within watersheds <strong>and</strong> in coastal lagoon systems have direct impact<br />

on <strong>the</strong> quantity <strong>and</strong> quality of <strong>the</strong> waters delivered to adjacent seas or ocean. An<br />

increased variety of l<strong>and</strong> uses has contributed to increased changes in watershed<br />

structure <strong>and</strong> hydrographic networks. Overall, <strong>the</strong>se alterations influence coastal<br />

lagoons <strong>and</strong> nearshore coastal waters through spatial dependent <strong>and</strong> time-lagged<br />

processes that control <strong>the</strong> delivery of nutrients <strong>and</strong> pollutants (Borum, 1996, Turner<br />

et al., 1997, Valiela et al., 1997, Vitousek et al., 1997, Carpenter, et al, 1998, Holl<strong>and</strong><br />

et al., 2004).<br />

Losses of goods <strong>and</strong> services.<br />

Seagrass communities, <strong>and</strong> to a lesser extent microphytobenthic systems, support<br />

high secondary production that is not only of commercial interest. Biotic equilibria,<br />

especially those depending upon seagrass processes, are responsible for invaluable<br />

ecosystem functions <strong>and</strong> services such as carbon dioxide <strong>and</strong> nutrient sinks,<br />

sediment oxygenation <strong>and</strong> stability, recovery of redox buffers, etc. <strong>Climate</strong> change<br />

may indirectly add fur<strong>the</strong>r stress, degrading <strong>and</strong> threatening <strong>the</strong>ir ecological<br />

sustainability. In <strong>the</strong> long term, losses of non-commercial goods <strong>and</strong> services can<br />

determine also economic losses, e.g. fishery decline, touristic attractiveness, etc.<br />

Impact of aquaculture:<br />

Aquaculture development affects local ecosystems, where wastewater from fish or<br />

mollusc farming can pollute <strong>the</strong> aquatic environment. The exploitation of benthic<br />

organisms (e.g., clams) can also cause sediment reworking <strong>and</strong> alteration. In warm<br />

water, not only <strong>the</strong> development risk of human pathogens increases, but also water<br />

quality undergoes deterioration. Accelerated microbial decomposition of aquaculture<br />

wastes can cause lowering of oxygen concentrations <strong>and</strong> perhaps induce stress to<br />

cultivated organisms as well as natural species. Higher temperatures may allow<br />

higher incidences of disease, especially if <strong>the</strong> organisms in <strong>the</strong> region are under<br />

stress.<br />

Increasing eutrophication.<br />

The interaction between eutrophication <strong>and</strong> climate change can potentially determine<br />

shifts in community structure <strong>and</strong> enhance <strong>the</strong> risk of harmful algal blooms, <strong>the</strong> risk of<br />

increase in <strong>the</strong> frequency <strong>and</strong> severity of anoxic crises with subsequent mortality of<br />

commercial species.<br />

Increasing unpredictability.<br />

Coastal lagoons are recognised as highly unpredictable environments. There is<br />

evidence that within certain thresholds, marine communities <strong>and</strong> ecosystems are<br />

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