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Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...

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Table-VI.C.7: Main factors <strong>and</strong> consequences adopted in <strong>the</strong> assessment of climate change effects<br />

on <strong>the</strong> Po River-North Adriatic system (data based on <strong>the</strong> scenario assessment for <strong>the</strong><br />

Mediterranean system)<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change effects<br />

Catchment Coastal Zone<br />

<strong>Agri</strong>cultural effects Coastal erosion<br />

Average crop yields • Increase Coastal shorelines • Increased erosion of shorelines<br />

Extreme low <strong>and</strong> high<br />

temperatures<br />

• Reduced frost damage.<br />

• Increased heat stress damage to<br />

crops <strong>and</strong> livestock<br />

Incomes <strong>and</strong> prices • Food prices increase.<br />

Coastal wetl<strong>and</strong>s • Permanent inundation<br />

• Loss of wetl<strong>and</strong> habitat<br />

• Increase of flood risk<br />

• Salt intrusion<br />

• <strong>Change</strong> in river discharge<br />

<strong>Water</strong> resource effects Marine ecosystem<br />

<strong>Water</strong> supply • Peak river flow shifts. Habitat • Loss of biodiversity<br />

<strong>Water</strong> quality • Degraded by higher<br />

temperatures;<br />

• <strong>Change</strong>s by water flow volume<br />

changes.<br />

• Increase in saltwater intrusion.<br />

• Increase of algal blooms<br />

• Increase in net primary productivity<br />

• <strong>Change</strong> in ecological parameters<br />

• Introduction of new species<br />

<strong>Water</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> • Increase of dem<strong>and</strong>. <strong>Water</strong> quality • <strong>Change</strong> of trophic conditions<br />

Extreme events • Increased flood damage.<br />

Increased drought frequency.<br />

• Increased flood damage.<br />

increased drought frequency<br />

Terrestrial ecosystems Tourism<br />

Habitat • Increase in net primary<br />

productivity.<br />

• Increase in frequency of<br />

ecosystem disturbance.<br />

• Loss of habitats.<br />

• Increase of fire risk<br />

Economic activity Reduction of tourists hosted<br />

Biodiversity<br />

Ice environments<br />

• Shifts in ranges of plant <strong>and</strong><br />

animals.<br />

• Extinction of species.<br />

Glaciers • Retreat of glaciers, Decreased<br />

sea-ice extent<br />

• Substantial loss of ice volume<br />

from glaciers.<br />

• Ground subsidence leading to<br />

infrastructure damage.<br />

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