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Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...

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permanent or temporary status. Shallow lakes may totally dry out or remain<br />

ephemeral, filled with water only for short periods during sporadic rainfalls.<br />

Temperature-related increases in evaporation from water surfaces, <strong>and</strong> in evapotranspiration<br />

from soils <strong>and</strong> vegetation in <strong>the</strong> catchment areas will have an impact on<br />

water dem<strong>and</strong>-supply balances. In arid <strong>and</strong> semi arid regions <strong>the</strong> evapo-transpiration<br />

potential (ETp) will exceed annual precipitation, <strong>and</strong> precipitation/ETp ratios may fall<br />

as low as 0.25, presenting implications for how both evaporation <strong>and</strong> storage is<br />

managed. At present, evaporation from surface water bodies alone is estimated to be<br />

about 5% of available water supply in <strong>the</strong> dry climate areas (Dams <strong>and</strong> development,<br />

2000). Longer-term temperature rises will influence water dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> need to be<br />

taken into account in dem<strong>and</strong> forecasts. While industrial <strong>and</strong> household water<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> is sensitive to temperature in certain circumstances, agriculture dem<strong>and</strong><br />

(evapo-transpiration) <strong>and</strong> natural evaporation will be most critically affected as<br />

conditions become hotter <strong>and</strong> drier.<br />

IV.B.7. Optical Properties of Lakes<br />

<strong>Climate</strong> change may affect <strong>the</strong> light conditions in lakes <strong>and</strong> optical properties of water<br />

in five major ways:<br />

1. by shortening <strong>the</strong> ice-cover duration <strong>and</strong> decreasing <strong>the</strong> thickness of snow on<br />

<strong>the</strong> ice;<br />

2. by increasing <strong>the</strong> leaching of dissolved organic matter from soils;<br />

3. by increasing phytoplankton primary production <strong>and</strong> biomass;<br />

4. by intensifying <strong>the</strong> resuspension of bottom sediments in shallow lakes through<br />

decreasing water levels <strong>and</strong> increased storminess.<br />

5. by increasing sediment transport from <strong>the</strong> watershed;<br />

A reduction in <strong>the</strong> spatial <strong>and</strong> temporal extent of lake <strong>and</strong> stream ice cover as a result<br />

of warmer winters can decrease light attenuation, which is a major limiting factor for<br />

production in boreal aquatic systems (McCarthy et al., 2001). However, <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r four<br />

processes decrease water transparency <strong>and</strong> light availability for plants <strong>and</strong><br />

phytoplankton.<br />

Ice <strong>and</strong> snow cover in high alpine lakes can be one or more meters thick effectively<br />

blocking all light from <strong>the</strong> lakes. Without light, photosyn<strong>the</strong>sis is no longer possible,<br />

turning <strong>the</strong> entire water body into a heterotrophic system. After ice break-off, <strong>the</strong>se<br />

lakes transit to extremely bright light conditions within a very short period of time. The<br />

higher altitude <strong>the</strong> lake, <strong>the</strong> stronger is <strong>the</strong> shortwave UV radiation (UVB, 280-320<br />

nm). At an elevation of 3000 m, UVB is approximately 50% higher than at sea level.<br />

In addition, ozone depletion in <strong>the</strong> stratosphere has increased UVB radiation by 10%<br />

since 1970, which penetrates deeply into high alpine lakes because of <strong>the</strong> lack of<br />

humic acids <strong>and</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r dissolved organic compounds (Psenner, 2003).<br />

Milder winters contribute to under-ice light conditions in lakes also in Nor<strong>the</strong>rn <strong>and</strong><br />

Central Europe where more frequent thaw periods melt <strong>the</strong> reflecting snow-cover <strong>and</strong><br />

make <strong>the</strong> ice more transparent.<br />

In most of <strong>the</strong> lakes in <strong>the</strong> Atlantic Region <strong>the</strong> optical characteristics of water are<br />

primarily determined by <strong>the</strong> concentration of phytoplankton in suspension (see <strong>the</strong><br />

remote sensing studies of George (1997) in <strong>the</strong> English Lake District). Some shallow<br />

lakes may, however, contain high concentrations of suspended sediment whilst a few<br />

lakes situated in upl<strong>and</strong> areas are strongly coloured by dissolved humic compounds.<br />

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