Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...
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Second, <strong>the</strong> chemical is transported (often over 10s – 100s – 1000s of km) through<br />
<strong>the</strong> atmosphere to a more remote region (Beyer et al., 2000; Ikonomou et al., 2002;<br />
Wania, 2003; Wania <strong>and</strong> Dugani, 2003). The chemical must be sufficiently persistent<br />
in <strong>the</strong> atmosphere to survive this long journey. Third, dry (gaseous or particulate) or<br />
wet deposition of <strong>the</strong> chemical to <strong>the</strong> more remote region can occur. Importantly, on<br />
being deposited to an environmental compartment (soil, vegetation, water bodies,<br />
snow/ice) POPs might be re-emitted (i.e. a secondary emission of ‘old’/previously<br />
deposited POP).<br />
It has been hypo<strong>the</strong>sised that a net transfer of POPs from warm source/usage areas<br />
to colder remote regions via LRAT (i.e. a global re-distribution) is occurring (Wania<br />
<strong>and</strong> Mackay, 1993; 1995; 1996; Jones <strong>and</strong> de Voogt, 1999; Wania <strong>and</strong> Su, 2004).<br />
Repeated temperature-controlled air-surface exchange provides <strong>the</strong> key mechanism<br />
for this so-called ‘cold condensation’ process. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, ‘global fractionation’ may<br />
occur, whereby different POPs travel different distances from a common source area.<br />
The extent of fractionation would be dependent on compound physical-chemical<br />
properties - notably vapour pressure <strong>and</strong> air-surface partitioning. Compounds with<br />
higher volatility will undergo LRAT <strong>and</strong> condense in colder (polar) regions, while less<br />
volatile compounds will be deposited closer to <strong>the</strong> source area. This could happen<br />
ei<strong>the</strong>r in one single event of release followed by deposition, or alternatively in a<br />
series of ‘hops’ through repeated air-surface exchange influenced by changes in<br />
temperature (<strong>the</strong> ‘grasshopper effect’) (Wania <strong>and</strong> Mackay, 1996). Fractionation does<br />
not necessarily lead to a net increase of POPs in polar regions (i.e. cold<br />
condensation) – it could arise simply following a single primary emission pulse,<br />
where different compounds undergo LRAT, deposition <strong>and</strong> loss processes to slightly<br />
different extents.<br />
This general concept of a temperature-driven re-cycling <strong>and</strong> re-distribution of POPs<br />
has provided <strong>the</strong> motivation for numerous studies designed to look for evidence of<br />
global cold condensation <strong>and</strong> fractionation. There is no doubt that fractionation <strong>and</strong><br />
cold condensation do occur (Wania <strong>and</strong> Mackay, 1996; Ockenden et al., 1998; Meijer<br />
et al., 2003a; Jaward et al., 2004a), but it appears that <strong>the</strong>se processes exert a<br />
relatively minor influence on <strong>the</strong> global mass balance of POPs (Meijer et al., 2003b;<br />
Wania <strong>and</strong> Su, 2004). This is likely because a number of o<strong>the</strong>r key factors influence<br />
<strong>the</strong> global cycling <strong>and</strong> atmospheric distribution of POPs, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>se can confound or<br />
lessen <strong>the</strong> importance of <strong>the</strong> cold condensation/fractionation processes. Key among<br />
<strong>the</strong>m are:<br />
• The potential for ongoing (often diffusive) primary sources of POPs, even<br />
now, long after many POPs have been regulated <strong>and</strong> banned (e.g. Jaward et<br />
al., 2004b);<br />
• The patterns of atmospheric circulation <strong>and</strong> air mass origin (e.g. Cortes et al.,<br />
2000);<br />
• The capacity of environmental compartments to store or degrade POPs. This<br />
is intimately linked to <strong>the</strong> amounts <strong>and</strong> forms of organic matter in those<br />
compartments (e.g. Meijer et al., 2003b);<br />
• The timescales required for large-scale re-cycling <strong>and</strong> exchange to occur.<br />
All <strong>the</strong>se issues need to be borne in mind when considering <strong>the</strong> potential impacts of<br />
underlying climate changes on <strong>the</strong> global cycling of POPs.<br />
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