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Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...

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<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>European</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Dimension</strong><br />

Chapter VI.E. <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong> <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>Water</strong>borne <strong>and</strong> Vector-Borne Diseases<br />

Key Points<br />

• Extreme wea<strong>the</strong>r events <strong>and</strong> changes in wea<strong>the</strong>r conditions<br />

increase <strong>the</strong> frequency of heavy rainfall events, with<br />

associated flooding <strong>and</strong> increased temperature, with a<br />

concomitant increase in waterborne <strong>and</strong> vector-borne<br />

infections.<br />

• There is increasing evidence that global warming might<br />

lead to an increase of infectious disease outbreaks,<br />

particularly in developing countries.<br />

• <strong>Change</strong>s in <strong>the</strong> distribution <strong>and</strong> abundance of disease<br />

vectors <strong>and</strong> reservoirs are likely to be amongst <strong>the</strong> most<br />

important <strong>and</strong> immediate effects of climate change.<br />

• <strong>Climate</strong>-based models are probably not sufficient to predict<br />

future changes in transmission of vector-borne disease <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>ir geographic distribution.<br />

• Rapid molecular methods for detection of infectious agents<br />

<strong>and</strong> a new group of models that combines information from<br />

climate, epidemiology <strong>and</strong> human behavior need to be<br />

developed.<br />

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