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Climate Change and the European Water Dimension - Agri ...

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<strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Change</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>European</strong> <strong>Water</strong> <strong>Dimension</strong><br />

Chapter III. The Hydrologic Cycle<br />

Key Points<br />

• The “hydrologic cycle” comprises nature’s method of<br />

replenishing, redistributing <strong>and</strong> purifying <strong>the</strong> world's<br />

natural water resources.<br />

• Increases in temperature may lead to increased<br />

evaporation, <strong>and</strong> changes in precipitation patterns <strong>and</strong><br />

regimes.<br />

• Global average precipitation is predicted to rise, but this<br />

increase is likely to be regional. Winter <strong>and</strong> spring<br />

precipitation may increase in Nor<strong>the</strong>rn Europe <strong>and</strong> summer<br />

precipitation will decrease, although sou<strong>the</strong>rn, central <strong>and</strong><br />

Eastern Europe may experience reduced precipitation.<br />

• The incidence of extreme precipitation events is predicted<br />

to increase, which suggests implications not only for<br />

increased contamination resulting from run-off but also<br />

decreased groundwater recharge <strong>and</strong> increased incidence<br />

of flooding. Duration, intensity <strong>and</strong> frequency of drought<br />

spells might also increase.<br />

• <strong>Change</strong>s in precipitation patterns might influence<br />

availability of surface water resources, leading to increased<br />

exploitation of groundwater. Exploitation beyond a<br />

sustainable level may adversely impact wetl<strong>and</strong>s <strong>and</strong><br />

coastal ecosystems.<br />

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